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. 2014 Mar;204(3):180–187. doi: 10.1192/bjp.bp.113.131938

Table 2.

Predictors of rates of violence in individuals classified as high risk: binomial logistic regression

Rate of violence in high-risk group (k = 57)a
Univariate
Multivariable
OR (95% CI) P OR (95% CI) P
General risk level of sample: rate in non-high-risk groups
1.07 (1.06-1.08)
<0.0001
1.07 (1.06-1.07)
<0.0001
Type of risk assessment instrument: actuarial v. SPJ
0.53 (0.45-0.63)
<0.0001
0.75 (0.62-0.92)
0.004
Location of outcome: community v. other 0.36 (0.28-0.46) <0.0001 NSb





Choice of outcome measure: conviction v. other 0.66 (0.55-0.78) <0.0001 NSc





Gender: percentage men
0.97 (0.96-0.98)
0.002
0.98 (0.97-0.99)
<0.0001
Age: mean age of participants 0.96 (0.95-0.98) <0.0001 NSd





Geographic location: North America v. other 1.02 (0.87-1.20) 0.80 NA

NA, not applicable; NS, not significant and dropped from model; OR, odds ratio; SPJ, structured professional judgement.

a.

All analyses adjusted for sample size, time at risk and study design (prospective v. non-prospective); k = number of samples.

b.

Variable dropped second from backward stepwise model.

c.

Variable dropped third from backward stepwise model.

d.

Variable dropped first from backward stepwise model.