Table 1.
Ananworanich 2008 | ||
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Methods | STUDY TYPE:
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COUNTRY:
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SETTING:
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DURATION OF RECRUITMENT:
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DURATION OF TRIAL:
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FOLLOW-UP:
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This trial was a pilot study was conducted to explore the feasibility and HIV disease outcome of the immediate versus deferred strategy as ground work for the PREDICT trial (PREDICT 2012). | ||
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Participants | INCLUSION CRITERIA:
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EXCLUSION CRITERIA:
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Number of participants randomised: 43
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All characteristics and baseline data did not differ between the two groups except median triglyceride at 48 weeks. This was statistically significantly higher in the DEFERRED group (98; IQR: 70 – 148) compared with the IMMEDIATE group (69: IQR: 54 – 88) (p = 0.016) | ||
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Interventions | INTERVENTION: IMMEDIATE GROUP
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CONTROL: DEFERRED GROUP
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CD4 20 – 24% or CD4 dropped by 25% in those with baseline CD4 15 – 19%. A repeat confirmatory CD4 was done immediately if CD4 fell below ART initiation threshold. | ||
ART comprised standard doses of generic individual zidovudine, lamivudine and nevi-rapine according to the Thai Government Pharmaceutical Organization guidelines | ||
COMPLIANCE: No formal means of assessing compliance is reported. | ||
CO-INTERVENTIONS: Cotrimoxazole was started immediately with the first decrease of CD4 below 15% and was continued for at least three months until two consecutive CD4 were above 15% | ||
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Outcomes | PRIMARY OUTCOMES:
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SECONDARY OUTCOMES:
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Notes | ETHICS Institutional Review Board at Chulalongkorn and Khon Kaen Universities |
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INFORMED CONSENT: All caregivers gave signed informed consent. | ||
FUNDING Not specifically reported. The Thai Government Pharmaceutical Organization provided anti-retrovirals | ||
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Risk of bias | ||
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Bias | Authors’ judgement | Support for judgement |
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Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Not reported |
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Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Not reported |
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Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes |
High risk | This was an open-label trial so personnel and caregivers were not blinded, potentially introducing performance bias |
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Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes |
Unclear risk | Not reported |
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Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes |
Unclear risk | In the IMMEDIATE group, attrition was 1/24 (4.2%) and in the DEFERRED group, attrition was 2/19 (10.5%). We judged this to be low risk |
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Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Low risk | We were not able to identify a registered protocol for the trial to compare registered and reported outcomes. However, given that the trial was designed as a feasibility study with recruitment rate, adherence and retention as primary outcomes rather than measures of efficacy, we judged the risk of selective reporting to be low |
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Control of time-dependent confounding COHORT ONLY |
Low risk | Not applicable due to the nature of randomisation which eliminates the need to control for confounding |
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Other bias | Unclear risk | The trial was conducted to ascertain the feasibility of the larger PREDICT 2012 trial and was intentionally not powered to evaluate efficacy. We did not identify other sources of bias |
PREDICT 2012 | ||
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Methods | STUDY TYPE:
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COUNTRY:
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SETTING:
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DURATION OF RECRUITMENT:
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DURATION OF TRIAL:
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FOLLOW-UP:
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Participants | INCLUSION CRITERIA:
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EXCLUSION CRITERIA:
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Number of participants randomised: 300 | ||
Baseline data:
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Baseline characteristics were similar between the two groups except for gender. There was a significantly greater proportion of females in the deferred arm (p value not reported) | ||
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Interventions | INTERVENTION: IMMEDIATE GROUP
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CONTROL: DEFERRED GROUP
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*The change in the immunologic criteria was due to a change in World Health Organization and national treatment guidelines. Recruitment was completed in September 2008 prior to implementing the change | ||
First-line ART comprised:
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Second-line ART:
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COMPLIANCE: Adherence questionnaires and pill counts were used to assess adherence. Good adherence (defined as average adherence by pill count of > 95% while receiving study drug) was reported in 88% of the IMMEDIATE and 90% of the DEFERRED group | ||
CO-INTERVENTIONS: Cotrimoxazole was started immediately with the first decrease of CD4 below 15% and was continued for at least six months until two consecutive CD4 were above 15% | ||
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Outcomes | PRIMARY OUTCOMES:
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SECONDARY OUTCOMES:
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Notes | ETHICS Institutional Review Board permission obtained at all sites. |
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INFORMED CONSENT: All caregivers gave written informed consent. | ||
FUNDING Division of AIDS (DAIDS), National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) and National Institute of Mental Health (NIMH), US National Institutes of Health (NIH) Antiretroviral drugs were provided by ViiV Healthcare/GlaxoSmithKline (zidovudine, lamivudine and abacavir), Boehringer-Ingelheim (nevirapine), Merck (efavirenz), Abbott (lopinavir/ritonavir) and Roche (nelfinavir) | ||
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Risk of bias | ||
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Bias | Authors’ judgement | Support for judgement |
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Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Low risk | Computer-generated randomisation program using SAS 9.1. The randomisation employed minimization by research site and history of nevirapine exposure |
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Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Low risk | The process was done centrally at a trial coordinating centre in Bangkok and assignment was communicated to the site investigator via fax |
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Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes |
High risk | Caregivers and personnel were not blinded as the study was open-label. This may introduce performance bias |
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Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes |
Low risk | An independent committee blinded to assignment, CD4 and ART status, reviewed outcomes of CDC category B and C endpoints and hospitalizations. Other outcomes may have been susceptible to detection bias but we judged this to be of low risk |
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Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes |
Low risk | In the IMMEDIATE group, 7/150 (4. 6%) were lost-to-follow-up and in the DEFERRED group, 3/150 (2%) were lost-to-follow-up. This represents a low attrition rate |
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Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Low risk | We compared the trial report with the entry for NCT00234091 on www.clinicaltrials.gov. There was no selective reporting |
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Control of time-dependent confounding COHORT ONLY |
Low risk | Not applicable due to the nature of randomisation which eliminates the need to control for confounding |
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Other bias | Low risk | The trial was funded by government organizations. The drugs were supplied by pharmaceutical companies which had no role in the study design, analysis or manuscript preparation. The trial was not stopped early. For these reasons we judged the risk of bias to be low for other forms of bias |
Yotebieng 2010 | ||
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Methods | STUDY TYPE:
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COUNTRY:
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SETTING:
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DURATION OF RECRUITMENT:
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DURATION OF TRIAL:
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FOLLOW-UP:
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Participants | INCLUSION CRITERIA:
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EXCLUSION CRITERIA:
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Number of participants eligible for inclusion: 573
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Characteristics and baseline data were compared between those who initiated ART and those who did not initiate ART and between those who initiated ART within one month from enrolment and those who initiated ART equal to or greater than one month from enrolment. As the comparison this review is focused on is timing on ART initiation, the baseline results are presented for those who initiated ART within one month (n = 288) and greater or equal to one month (n = 206) below:
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The baseline difference between the groups was statistically significant for CD4 cell count, CD4 cell percentage, WAZ, and time from TB to ART initiation | ||
The authors report that the distribution of baseline characteristics was similar to that of the above for 15 and 60 day cut-offs. The actual data is not reported | ||
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Interventions | INTERVENTION: ART INITIATED < 1 MONTH ART was initiated in children within one month of enrolment |
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CONTROL: ART INITIATED ≥ 1 MONTH ART was initiated in children after one month or more of enrolment The authors also consider the data in 15-day and 60-day cut-offs First-line ART regimen at the time, according to South African National Guidlines. comprised stavudine, lamivudine, and ritonavir-boosted lopinavir for children three years or younger; or stavudine, lamivudine and efavirenz for those over three years and over 10kg of weight. Double doses of ritonavir were given during anti-TB treatment | ||
CO-INTERVENTIONS: All children were receiving TB treatment which comprised a combination of rifampicin, isoniazid, and pyrazinamide for the initial two months followed by rifampicin and isoniazid for the remaining four months | ||
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Outcomes | PRIMARY OUTCOMES:
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Notes | ETHICS Not reported. Routine data collection |
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INFORMED CONSENT: Not reported. | ||
FUNDING US National Institutes of Health (NIH) Fogarty grant: DHHS/NIH/FIC 5 D43 TW01039-08 AIDS International Training and Research Program at the University of North Carolina (UNC) at Chapel Hill. Additional support from the UNC Center of Global Initiative and the American International Health Alliance Antiretroviral drugs were provided by ViiV Healthcare/GlaxoSmithKline (zidovudine, lamivudine and abacavir), Boehringer-Ingelheim (nevirapine), Merck (efavirenz), Abbott (lopinavir/ritonavir) and Roche (nelfinavir) | ||
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Risk of bias | ||
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Bias | Authors’ judgement | Support for judgement |
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Random sequence generation (selection bias) | High risk | The groups were not randomised as this was a cohort study. |
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Allocation concealment (selection bias) | High risk | The groups were not randomised as this was a cohort study. |
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Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes |
High risk | As the personnel determined when to initiate ART, blinding was not possible and performance bias may be present |
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Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes |
Low risk | The authors do not report if the assessment was blinded. However as the outcomes are death and viral load lack of blinding is unlikely to be a major source of bias |
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Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes |
Low risk | The overall loss to follow-up was 13% (75/573) overall with 38 lost prior to ART initiation and 37 while on ART. The authors report that those children lost to follow-up did not differ to those in care in any of the baseline characteristics or timing of ART initiation |
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Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Unclear risk | No protocol was obtained for this study and there is no report of ethical clearance. As it is based on analysis of routinely collected data there is a risk of selective reporting of those outcomes which were found to be significant or noteworthy in preference over other outcomes. However, given that the outcomes of death and viral suppression are of primary interest to the research question, we did not rate the risk as high but as unclear |
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Control of time-dependent confounding COHORT ONLY |
Low risk | The authors made use of inverse probability-of-treatment and censoring (IPTC) weighting of marginal structural models, an appropriate statistical analysis to control for time-dependent confounding |
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Other bias | Low risk | The authors state that the funding sources had no role in the design and conduct of this study |