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. 2014 Jan 6;106(2):djt367. doi: 10.1093/jnci/djt367

Table 3.

Risks (%) of overdiagnosis among nonmetastatic prostate cancer patients diagnosed by prostate-specific antigen screening predicted by the fitted logistic regression model*

Gleason score Age, y PSA, ng/mL
4.0–4.9 5.0–5.9 6.0–6.9 7.0–7.9 8.0–8.9 9.0–9.9
≤6 50–54 11.6 9.9 8.4 7.1 6.0 5.0
55–59 19.5 16.8 14.4 12.3 10.5 8.9
60–64 30.7 27.0 23.6 20.5 17.7 15.2
65–69 44.9 40.4 36.1 32.1 28.2 24.7
70–74 59.9 55.5 50.9 46.4 41.9 37.6
75–79 73.3 69.6 65.6 61.4 57.0 52.5
80–84 83.4 80.8 77.8 74.5 70.9 67.0
≥7 50–54 9.6 8.1 6.9 5.8 4.9 4.1
55–59 16.3 14.0 11.9 10.1 8.6 7.3
60–64 26.3 22.9 19.9 17.2 14.7 12.6
65–69 39.6 35.3 31.3 27.5 24.1 20.9
70–74 54.6 50.1 45.5 41.1 36.8 32.7
75–79 68.8 64.8 60.6 56.1 51.6 47.1
80–84 80.2 77.2 73.8 70.1 66.2 62.0

* PSA = prostate-specific antigen.