Appendix Table 2.

Relationship of state revenue, federal subsidies and programs, and legal challenges as well as to socioeconomic, demographic and political factors to nominal state foster care maintenance rates from 1994 to 2008.

	Univariate	Multivariate						Fixed effect only
Foster care maintenance rates for 2 year–olds
Unemployment	−9.04	−8.81					−7.97
% Minority children	3.26	4.48					7.67
Poverty rate	−0.66	1.04					0.16
Urbanicity	−8.63*	−10.66					−10.79*
Partial Republican Control of State Government	−19.01		−41.40				−42.74
Republican Controlled State Government	−10.04		−46.56				−56.49
Log real per capita Title IV B funding	−13.25			−21.71			−7.45
Log real per foster child Title IV E funding	5.38			10.77			5.94
TANF*FMAP	0.23			0.32**			0.29**
Share of state population on TANF	9.20			7.34			4.43
Real per capita tax revenue	8.79			15.50			15.14
CFSR complete	−1.99				−1.17		10.19
1st Title IVE eligibility review	2.65				5.46		−0.53
2nd Title IVE eligibility review	3.77				5.25		8.04
Lawsuit filed	−21.77*					−20.52	−18.08
Settlement reached	−17.35**					−1.67	−3.85
State fixed effects	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Year fixed effects	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes
Constant		822.48***	384.68***	267.18***	339.41***	346.98***	653.93**	333.00***	341.64***
Observations	213	213	213	213	213	213	213	213	213
Adjusted R-squared	0.821–0.826	0.827	0.834	0.825	0.819	0.823	0.841	0.656	0.822
Foster care maintenance rates for 9 year-olds
Unemployment	−10.05	−10.66					−9.73
% Minority children	3.26	3.94					7.37
Poverty rate	0.01	2.00					1.04
Urbanicity	−7.53	−9.63					−10.04
Partial Republican Control of State Government	−21.49		−44.70*				−46.16
Republican Controlled State Government	−8.85		−48.29				−56.52
Log real per capita Title IV B funding	−9.36			−14.63			−2.28
Log real per foster child Title IV E funding	2.48			5.51			0.99
TANF*FMAP	0.21			0.29*			0.26*
Share of state population on TANF	9.67			8.73			6.72
Real per capita tax revenue	12.53			19.13			18.17
CFSR complete	−0.85				−0.32		10.60
1st Title IVE eligibility review	−1.17				1.95		−3.69
2nd Title IVE eligibility review	5.16				5.70		8.05
Lawsuit filed	−13.21					−16.01	−15.42
Settlement reached	−8.51					3.73	3.21
State fixed effects	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Year fixed effects	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes
Constant		805.15***	414.02***	300.78***	367.71***	371.86***	651.75**	357.00***	368.78***
Observations	213	213	213	213	213	213	213	213	213
Adjusted R-squared	0.769–0.776	0.775	0.786	0.772	0.766	0.769	0.790	0.557	0.770
Foster care maintenance rates for 16 year-olds
Unemployment	−11.76	−12.62					−11.48
% Minority children	4.39	4.58					7.37
Poverty rate	0.40	2.44					1.66
Urbanicity	−5.71	−8.19					−7.58
Partial Republican Control of State Government	−27.19		−53.12*				−56.56**
Republican Controlled State Government	−7.08		−53.94*				−64.74*
Log real per capita title IV B funding	−13.46			−23.64			−14.38
Log real per foster child Title IV E funding	8.19			14.16			9.64
TANF*FMAP	0.20			0.30**			0.27*
Share of state population on TANF	6.83			4.95			2.09
Real per capita tax revenue	12.83			18.85			17.49
CFSR complete	−1.56				−0.52		12.84
1st Title IVE eligibility review	3.35				6.99		−0.73
2nd Title IVE eligibility review	4.75				6.67		8.37
Lawsuit filed	−12.78					−17.18	−16.16
Settlement reached	−7.26					5.88	4.16
State fixed effects	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Year fixed effects	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes
Constant		712.17**	430.89***	301.31***	375.56***	382.17***	513.88	369.00***	379.28***
Observations	213	213	213	213	213	213	213	213	213
Adjusted R-squared	0.750–0.755	0.756	0.773	0.753	0.747	0.750	0.776	0.539	0.751

^*p < 0.1,

^**p < 0.05, and

^***p < 0.01.