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. 2014 Mar 20;8(3):e2731. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002731

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© 2014 Lewis et al

This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are properly credited.

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Panel (a): joint marginal posterior density for on log scale. The red contour is the 95% limit and the two points marked are those used to produce approx. 95% confidence intervals in panels b and c. Panel (b): dynamics of force of infection by age, 95% CI is for the mean force of infection at age . Panel (c): Smoothed observed prevalence and prevalence predicted by Model 1-P, 95% CI are for the mean prevalence at age . All results use the informative prior for with mean = 1.2 and sd = 0.2.

Inline graphic — Panel (a): joint marginal posterior density for on log scale. The red contour is the 95% limit and the two points marked are those used to produce approx. 95% confidence intervals in panels b and c. Panel (b): dynamics of force of infection by age, 95% CI is for the mean force of infection at age . Panel (c): Smoothed observed prevalence and prevalence predicted by Model 1-P, 95% CI are for the mean prevalence at age . All results use the informative prior for with mean = 1.2 and sd = 0.2.