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. 2014 Mar 15;4(3):e004007. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2013-004007

Table 3.

Prediction performance of machine-learning algorithms: 6-month survival

Cancer type Area under ROC curve (95% CI)
EAR only ECO only EAR+ECO
Genitourinary 0.81 (0.77 to 0.85) 0.82 (0.78 to 0.86) 0.88 (0.85 to 0.91)*,†
Colorectal 0.84 (0.80 to 0.88) 0.85 (0.81 to 0.89) 0.88 (0.84 to 0.91)*,†
Lung 0.71 (0.67 to 0.76) 0.73 (0.69 to 0.77)* 0.77 (0.73 to 0.82)*,†
Breast no deaths in the period
Haematological 0.73 (0.68 to 0.79) 0.74 (0.69 to 79) 0.76 (0.71 to 0.81)
Upper gastrointestinal 0.74 (0.69 to 0.78) 0.64 (0.60 to 69) 0.84 (0.80 to 0.87)†
Skin 0.84 (0.77 to 0.90) 0.85 (0.79 to 91) 0.91 (0.86 to 0.96)*,†
Head and neck 0.66 (0.61 to 0.71) 0.70 (0.64 to 75) 0.77 (0.72 to 0.82)*,†
Gynaecological 0.97 (0.94 to 0.99) 0.99 (0.98 to 1)* 1 (0.99 to 1)*
CNS 0.89 (0.85 to 0.94) 0.84 (0.78 to 0.90) 0.82 (0.77 to 0.88)
Unknown primary 0.92 (0.89 to 0.95) 0.79 (0.75 to 0.84) 0.90 (0.87 to 0.93)*,†

*Significantly greater than EAR only.

†Significantly greater than ECO only.

CNS, central nervous system; EAR, electronic administrative records; ECO, Evaluation of Cancer Outcomes; ROC, receiver operating characteristic.