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Smoothed age pattern of diabetes incidence using prevalence values from age/cohort model. Incidence estimated from age/cohort model of diabetes prevalence and differential mortality estimates, detailed in Research Design and Methods. Three-term moving average of incidence is plotted. For graphical purposes, incidence values are plotted for the cohort born in 1950–1959, but the shape of the curve is nearly identical for all birth cohorts.
