Table 3.
Average Marginal Effects on Probability of Attending a Highly Selective College
| Variables | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Summer transfer (ref: nontransfer) | −0.149*** | −0.144*** | −0.077* | −0.056 |
| Mobility and background | ||||
| Residential move between 10th and 12th | 0.012 | 0.010 | 0.013 | |
| No. of previous transfers (ref: none) | ||||
| One | 0.008 | 0.014 | 0.017 | |
| Two | 0.010 | 0.014 | 0.021 | |
| At least three | −0.043 | −0.026 | −0.017 | |
| Pretransfer curricular and extracurricular measures | ||||
| 10th grade math course level | 0.019* | 0.020* | ||
| 10th grade academic GPA | 0.135*** | 0.095*** | ||
| 10th grade sports (ref: nonparticipant) | ||||
| Participant | 0.020 | 0.012 | ||
| Leader | −0.003 | −0.010 | ||
| 10th grade academic club involvement | 0.024 | 0.013 | ||
| 10th grade other club involvement | 0.025 | 0.011 | ||
| Posttransfer curricular and extracurricular measures | ||||
| 12th grade math course level (ref: > 10th grade math level) | ||||
| No math | −0.085*** | |||
| ≤10th grade math level | −0.004 | |||
| 12th grade academic GPA | 0.032* | |||
| 12th grade sports (ref: nonparticipant) | ||||
| Participant | 0.006 | |||
| Leader | 0.013 | |||
| 12th grade academic club involvement | 0.050** | |||
| 12th grade other club involvement | 0.030 |
Notes: Model 2 also controls for sex, race/ethnicity, age, parental education, family structure, family income, native English speaking status, urbanicity, region, school sector, % minority, and average parental educ. of school. Model 3 also controls for students’ educational expectations, whether the student has ever been retained, and math and reading Item Response Theory scores. N = 9,130.
*
p ≤ .05.
**
p ≤ .01.
***
p ≤ .001.