Table 3. Multivariate Predictors Of Early Postoperative All-Cause In-Hospital Mortality Following Vascular Surgery In Patients ≥ 40 Years Of Age.
| p-value and odds ratio (95% CI) | ||||
| Derivation model (n = 631) | Entire cohort (n = 829) | |||
| Pre-operative mortality model | ||||
| Age (per 1-year increase) | 0.056 | 1.03 (1.0–1.06) | 0.067 | 1.02 (1.0–1.05) |
| Creatinine > 180 μmol.l-1 | < 0.001 | 6.43 (3.48–11.86) | < 0.001 | 5.36 (3.01– 9.55) |
| Chronic beta-blocker therapy | 0.002 | 2.48 (1.38–4.48) | 0.01 | 2.02 (1.18–3.46) |
| No chronic statin therapy | 0.023 | 2.81 (1.15–6.83) | 0.02 | 2.51 (1.12–5.64) |
| Postoperative mortality model | ||||
| Age (per 1-year increase) | 0.001 | 1.05 (1.02–1.09) | 0.001 | 1.05 (1.02–1.08) |
| Creatinine > 180 μmol.l-1 | < 0.001 | 5.08 (2.50–10.31) | < 0.001 | 4.35 (2.24–8.42) |
| Surgery out of hours × no chronic statin therapy | < 0.001 | 8.27 (3.36–20.38) | < 0.001 | 5.31 (2.29–12.30) |
| Last mean daily HR (per beat per minute increase) | 0.08 | 1.02 (1.0–1.04) | < 0.001 | 1.03 (1.02–1.05) |
| Last mean daily HR × ‘last mean daily SBP < 100 or > 179 mmHg’ | < 0.001 | 1.02 (1.01–1.03) | < 0.001 | 1.02 (1.01–1.03) |
| Last mean daily HR × withdrawal of chronic beta-blockade | < 0.001 | 1.02 (1.01–1.03) | < 0.001 | 1.01 (1.01–1.02) |
CI: confidence interval; HR: heart rate; SBP: systolic blood pressure.