Table 4.
Factors affecting the long-term outcome with MMSE, ADAS-cog or IADL score as dependent variables
MMSE | ADAS-cog | IADL | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Percentage of variance accounted for, all fixed terms |
28.6%, P <0.001 |
|
37.6%, P <0.001 |
|
60.9%, P <0.001 |
|
Significant predictors in final mixed modelsa |
β (95% CI) |
P-value |
β (95% CI) |
P-value |
β (95% CI) |
P-value |
Fixed terms | ||||||
Intercept |
−25.751 |
0.022 |
−14.101 |
0.048 |
0.808 |
0.728 |
(−47.709, −3.793) |
(−28.099, −0.102) |
(−3.747, 5.363) |
||||
Time in months from baseline |
−0.924 |
<0.001 |
0.480 |
0.019 |
0.154 |
<0.001 |
(−1.201, −0.648) |
(0.078, 0.881) |
(0.069, 0.239) |
||||
Baseline assessment score |
2.198 |
<0.001 |
1.696 |
<0.001 |
1.530 |
<0.001 |
(1.272, 3.124) |
(0.931, 2.462) |
(1.262, 1.798) |
||||
Baseline assessment score2 |
|
ns |
|
ns |
−0.021 |
<0.001 |
(−0.029, −0.013) | ||||||
Time in months × Baseline assessment score |
0.028 |
<0.001 |
0.014 |
<0.001 |
−0.001 |
0.512 |
(0.019, 0.036) |
(0.008, 0.021) |
(−0.005, 0.003) |
||||
Time in months2 × Baseline assessment score |
−0.00007 |
<0.001 |
0.0002 |
0.002 |
−0.00006 |
0.043 |
(−0.0001, −0.00004) |
(0.00006, 0.0003) |
(−0.0001, −0.000002) |
||||
Background variables: | ||||||
Gender (male = 0, female = 1) |
−0.582 |
0.001 |
|
ns |
|
ns |
(−0.233, −0.931) | ||||||
APOE ϵ4 carrier (no = 0, yes = 1) |
|
ns |
1.278 |
0.015 |
|
ns |
(2.307, 0.249) | ||||||
Solitary living (no = 0, yes = 1) |
|
ns |
|
ns |
0.776 |
0.001 |
(1.253, 0.299) | ||||||
Education (years) |
0.089 |
0.011 |
−0.111 |
0.281 |
−0.051 |
0.328 |
(0.021, 0.158) |
(−0.312, 0.090) |
(−0.152, 0.051) |
||||
Time in months × Education, years |
−0.010 |
0.002 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.011 |
0.001 |
(−0.016, −0.004) |
(0.003, 0.028) |
(0.005, 0.018) |
||||
Age at first assessment (years) |
0.491 |
0.001 |
0.285 |
0.002 |
0.042 |
0.023 |
(0.202, 0.780) |
(0.101, 0.469) |
(0.006, 0.078) |
||||
Time in months × Age |
0.004 |
0.003 |
−0.009 |
<0.001 |
|
ns |
(0.001, 0.006) |
(−0.014, −0.004) |
|||||
Baseline assessment score × Age |
−0.022 |
<0.001 |
−0.015 |
0.004 |
|
ns |
(−0.034, −0.010) |
(−0.025, −0.005) |
|||||
IADL score at baseline |
−0.098 |
<0.001 |
0.225 |
<0.001 |
na |
|
(−0.135, −0.062) |
(0.117, 0.332) |
|||||
MMSE score at baseline |
na |
|
na |
|
−0.238 |
<0.001 |
(−0.358, −0.118) | ||||||
ChEI doseb |
0.010 |
0.049 |
−0.044 |
0.002 |
−0.013 |
0.048 |
(0.00004, 0.019) |
(−0.071, −0.017) |
(−0.026, −0.0001) |
||||
Random terms (variance) | ||||||
Intercept |
2.097 |
<0.001 |
17.298 |
<0.001 |
5.539 |
<0.001 |
(1.647, 2.669) |
(13.849, 21.606) |
(4.473, 6.858) |
||||
Time in months |
0.026 |
<0.001 |
0.086 |
<0.001 |
0.027 |
<0.001 |
(0.022, 0.031) | (0.071, 0.104) | (0.022, 0.032) |
Age at onset, number of medications and specific concomitant medications used at baseline and the variable comparing the ChEI agents were not significant.
β values were unstandardized and are expressed per one unit increase for continuous variables and for the condition present in dichotomous variables.
aBaseline assessment score = MMSE, ADAS-cog or IADL, respectively.
bMean percentage of the maximum recommended dose, that is, 10 mg for donepezil, 12 mg for rivastigmine and 24 mg for galantamine.
Abbreviations: ADAS-cog, Alzheimer’s Disease Assessment Scale-cognitive subscale; APOE, apolipoprotein E; ChEI, cholinesterase inhibitors; CI, confidence interval; IADL, Instrumental Activities of Daily Living; MMSE, Mini-Mental State Examination; na not applicable; ns not significant.