Exhibit 2. Summarized Longitudinal Model Results: Cost and Utilization Trajectories in the Pre- and Post-Implementation Periods.
| Group 1 | Group 2 | Group 3 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monthly Pre-Period Trend | Monthly Post-Period Trend | Diff.-in-Diff. [95% CI] | Pre | Post | Diff.-in-Diff. [95% CI] | Pre | Post | Diff-in-Diff [95% CI] | ||
| COSTS | ||||||||||
| Ambulatory Medical Cost: Total | ||||||||||
| Intervention | 4.39% | 3.48% | 2.56** | 6.17% | 3.11% | -1.98*** | 3.74% | 1.07% | -0.91 | |
| Controls | 6.58% | 3.01% | [0.76,4.40] | 3.55% | 2.59% | [-3.08,-0.86] | 2.83% | 1.10% | [-2.75,0.96] | |
| Ambulatory Medical Cost: Laboratory | ||||||||||
| Intervention | 0.20% | 0.43% | 0.66 | 0.23% | 0.45% | 0.10 | -0.06% | 0.21% | 0.18 | |
| Controls | 0.63% | 0.19% | [-0.08,1.41] | 0.11% | 0.23% | [-0.35,0.55] | 0.02% | 0.11% | [-0.41,0.78] | |
| Ambulatory Medical Cost: Radiology | ||||||||||
| Intervention | 1.24% | 1.23% | 0.12 | 1.04% | 1.11% | -0.54 | 1.52% | 0.50% | -1.63* | |
| Controls | 0.97% | 0.84% | [-1.11,1.36] | 0.13% | 0.74% | [-1.31,0.24] | -0.03% | 0.60% | [-2.88,-0.36] | |
| VISITS | ||||||||||
| Ambulatory Visits | ||||||||||
| Intervention | 0.32% | 0.79% | 0.84** | 1.06% | 0.66% | -0.60** | 0.62% | 0.10% | -0.18 | |
| Controls | 0.93% | 0.55% | [0.25,1.44] | 0.34% | 0.54% | [-0.97,-0.22] | 0.48% | 0.14% | [-0.78,0.42] | |
| Evaluation and Management Visits | ||||||||||
| Intervention | 0.18% | 0.79% | 0.51* | 0.73% | 0.58% | -0.49** | 0.41% | 0.11% | -0.30 | |
| Controls | 0.35% | 0.45% | [0.03,1.00] | 0.15% | 0.48% | [-0.80,-0.18] | 0.16% | 0.17% | [-0.80,0.19] | |
p<0.05,
p<0.01,
p<0.001
NOTE. Negative difference-in-differences reflect savings in intervention relative to control communities.
SOURCE: Authors' analysis.