Table I.
Distributions and fit parameters used in the models. AIC = Akaike information criterion.
Model parameter | Unit | Distribution type (values)a ~ Medianb |
References and Fit Statistics |
---|---|---|---|
C = rotavirus concentration in secondary treated wastewater at Beijing wastewater treatment plants |
viral unit/L | Mixture (A, B) with 60% recovery efficiency ~ 0.02 A = Lognormal (−2.53, 1.33) B = Lognormal (−13.69, 4.45) |
(34-36) |
V = volume of water captured by vegetable |
mL/g | ||
Bok choy | Lognormal (−3.79, 0.37) ~ 0.02 |
Chi Sq = 12.8600 AIC = −668.2724 |
|
Choy sum | Lognormal (−3.08, 0.48) ~ 0.05 |
Chi Sq = 10.7917 AIC = −457.7444 |
|
Gai lan | Lognormal3 (−2.99, 0.45, 0.005) ~ 0.06 |
Chi sq = 10.2222 AIC = −461.97 |
|
Lettuce | Lognormal3 (−4.57, 0.50, 0.006) ~ 0.02 |
Chi Sq = 9.0309 AIC = −739.0825 |
|
M = per capita consumption of vegetable in China |
g/person day |
||
Bok choy | Lognormal (3.03, 2.12) ~ 4.59 |
(37) | |
Choy sum | Lognormal (2.87, 1.99) ~ 16.25 |
(37) | |
Gai lan | Lognormal (3.69, 0.58) ~ 39.33 |
(37) | |
Lettuce | Lognormal (4.35, 1.27) ~ 76.64 |
(37) | |
k = in-field virus kinetic decay constant |
days−1 | Normal (1.07, 0.07) – truncated at zero ~ 1.07 |
(7, 38) |
t = withholding period | days | Uniform (0, 2) ~ 0.97 | |
W = reduction of virus concentration by post-harvest vegetable washing |
log10 unit | PERT (0.1, 1, 2) ~ 1.01 | (39-41, 9) |
Rotavirus dose-response parameters |
Hypergeometric Beta Poisson α = 0.167, β = 0.191 |
(42) | |
I = proportion of rotavirus-infected persons in developing countries who become ill |
proportion | 0.90 | (32) |
D = rotavirus disease burden for China |
DALY per case |
Uniform (5.79 × 10−2, 2.13 × 10−1) ~ 0.11 |
(43, 44) |
SF = susceptibility fraction | proportion | 0.059 | (45, 21) |
Distribution types and values: Lognormal(μ, σ), where population parameters and are calculated as follows: and , where is the sample mean and s is the sample standard deviation; Lognormal3(μ, σ, location), where location is a shift parameter; Normal(mean, standard deviation); PERT(minimum, mode, maximum); and Uniform(minimum, maximum).
Median values calculated after 10,000 iterations