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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2015 Apr 1.
Published in final edited form as: Risk Anal. 2014 Feb 27;34(4):602–613. doi: 10.1111/risa.12178

Table I.

Distributions and fit parameters used in the models. AIC = Akaike information criterion.

Model parameter Unit Distribution type (values)a
~ Medianb
References and Fit
Statistics
C = rotavirus concentration in
secondary treated wastewater at
Beijing wastewater treatment
plants
viral unit/L Mixture (A, B) with 60%
recovery efficiency ~ 0.02
A = Lognormal (−2.53, 1.33)

B = Lognormal (−13.69,

4.45)
(34-36)
V = volume of water captured by
vegetable
mL/g
 Bok choy Lognormal (−3.79, 0.37) ~
0.02
Chi Sq = 12.8600
AIC = −668.2724
 Choy sum Lognormal (−3.08, 0.48) ~
0.05
Chi Sq = 10.7917
AIC = −457.7444
 Gai lan Lognormal3 (−2.99, 0.45,
0.005) ~ 0.06
Chi sq = 10.2222
AIC = −461.97
 Lettuce Lognormal3 (−4.57, 0.50,
0.006) ~ 0.02
Chi Sq = 9.0309
AIC = −739.0825
M = per capita consumption of
vegetable in China
g/person
day
 Bok choy Lognormal (3.03, 2.12) ~
4.59
(37)
 Choy sum Lognormal (2.87, 1.99) ~
16.25
(37)
 Gai lan Lognormal (3.69, 0.58) ~
39.33
(37)
 Lettuce Lognormal (4.35, 1.27) ~
76.64
(37)
k = in-field virus kinetic decay
constant
days−1 Normal (1.07, 0.07) –
truncated at zero ~ 1.07
(7, 38)
t = withholding period days Uniform (0, 2) ~ 0.97
W = reduction of virus
concentration by post-harvest
vegetable washing
log10 unit PERT (0.1, 1, 2) ~ 1.01 (39-41, 9)
Rotavirus dose-response
parameters
Hypergeometric Beta
Poisson
α = 0.167, β = 0.191
(42)
I = proportion of rotavirus-infected
persons in developing
countries who become ill
proportion 0.90 (32)
D = rotavirus disease burden for
China
DALY per
case
Uniform (5.79 × 10−2, 2.13 ×
10−1) ~ 0.11
(43, 44)
SF = susceptibility fraction proportion 0.059 (45, 21)
a

Distribution types and values: Lognormal(μ, σ), where population parameters μ^ andσ^ are calculated as follows: μ^=lnx¯0.5ln(1+(sx¯)2) and σ^=ln(1+(sx¯)2),, where x¯ is the sample mean and s is the sample standard deviation; Lognormal3(μ, σ, location), where location is a shift parameter; Normal(mean, standard deviation); PERT(minimum, mode, maximum); and Uniform(minimum, maximum).

b

Median values calculated after 10,000 iterations