Table 7.
Moderate-risk predictive factors in the EMR model for 3-month prediction
| Risk factor | Relative importance | Wald statistic | Selection probability | Coefficient: 95% CIs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emergency visits past 3 months |
100.0 |
3.9 |
1.00 |
(0.60, 1.83) |
| Number of mental health diagnosis groups |
52.7 |
2.2 |
0.99 |
(0.08, 1.35) |
| Problems related to lifestyle past 12–24 months |
29.7 |
1.5 |
0.91 |
(0.00, 1.20) |
| Personal history of risk-factors past 6–12 months |
23.4 |
1.8 |
0.98 |
(0.00, 1.36) |
| Male & postcode changes past 3 months |
21.9 |
1.1 |
0.82 |
(0.00, 1.04) |
| Moderate-risk events past 6–12 months |
20.4 |
1.3 |
0.93 |
(0.01, 0.99) |
| Problems related to lifestyle past 6–12 months |
17.3 |
1.1 |
0.83 |
(0.00, 0.99) |
| Moderate-risk events past 3 months |
17.0 |
1.1 |
0.92 |
(0.01, 0.88) |
| Poisoning by unspecified drugs, medicaments and biological substances past 3 months |
16.7 |
1.1 |
0.84 |
(0.00, 1.15) |
| Symptoms and signs involving emotional state past 3 months |
15.5 |
1.2 |
0.86 |
(0.00, 0.86) |
| Mental health diagnoses: depressive episodes; bipolar disorders past 3 months |
15.3 |
1.0 |
0.76 |
(0.00, 1.05) |
| Drugs used to treat addictive disorders past 3 months | 15.1 | 1.2 | 0.86 | (0.00, 1.73) |
MHDG: Mental Health Diagnosis Group.