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. 2014 Apr 27;2(4):e209–e215. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(14)70018-X

Table 1.

Incidence of HIV-1 seroconversion by sociodemographic variables, 2004–12

Person-years Number of HIV seroconversions HIV incidence*(95% CI)
Calendar year
2004 5552 208 3·75 (3·27–4·29)
2005 7060 269 3·81 (3·38–4·29)
2006 7575 321 4·24 (3·80–4·73)
2007 7347 268 3·65 (3·24–4·11)
2008 7102 275 3·87 (3·44–4·36)
2009 6389 237 3·71 (3·27–4·21)
2010 5724 203 3·55 (3·09–4·07)
2011 4858 164 3·38 (2·90–3·93)
2012 3239 92 2·84 (2·32–3·48)
Age-sex stratum
Women aged 15–19 years 9179 451 4·91 (4·48–5·39)
Women aged 20–24 years 7478 583 7·80 (7·19–8·46)
Women aged 25–29 years 3140 204 6·50 (5·66–7·45)
Women aged 30–34 years 2271 96 4·23 (3·46–5·16)
Women aged 35–39 years 2795 70 2·50 (1·98–3·17)
Women aged 40–44 years 3513 77 2·19 (1·75–2·74)
Women aged ≥45 years 5349 73 1·36 (1·09–1·72)
Men aged 15–19 years 8373 75 0·90 (0·71–1·12)
Men aged 20–24 years 5848 192 3·28 (2·85–3·78)
Men aged 25–29 years 2082 97 4·66 (3·82–5·68)
Men aged 30–34 years 1171 38 3·25 (2·36–4·46)
Men aged 35–39 years 1039 31 2·98 (2·10–4·24)
Men aged 40–44 years 1076 24 2·23 (1·50–3·33)
Men aged ≥45 years 1531 26 1·70 (1·16–2·49)
Knows HIV status
Yes 36 596 1372 3·75 (3·56–3·95)
No 4331 131 3·02 (2·55–3·59)
Refused 13 918 534 3·84 (3·52–4·18)
Has heard about antiretroviral therapy
Yes 23 614 880 3·73 (3·49–3·98)
No 4452 134 3·01 (2·54–3·56)
Refused 26 778 1023 3·82 (3·59–4·06)
Area of residence
Peri-urban 16 597 724 4·36 (4·06–4·69)
Rural 36 613 1248 3·41 (3·22–3·60)
Urban 1634 65 3·98 (3·12–5·07)
Household wealth quintile
Poorest 11 117 368 3·31 (2·99–3·67)
Second poorest 12 251 437 3·57 (3·25–3·92)
Third poorest 11 916 467 3·92 (3·58–4·29)
Fourth poorest 10 981 464 4·23 (3·86–4·63)
Wealthiest 8580 301 3·51 (3·13–3·93)
Changes of household residencies
None 50 481 1828 3·62 (3·46–3·79)
One 3642 169 4·64 (3·99–5·39)
Two or more 722 40 5·54 (4·06–7·55)
*

New infections per 100 person-years.