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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Apr 16.
Published in final edited form as: J Pediatr. 2007 Oct 31;152(2):191–200. doi: 10.1016/j.jpeds.2007.07.055

Table III.

Results of logistic model in predicting adulthood waist circumference (cm) >102 for men and >88 for women

Males Females


Parameter Estimate Error P Estimate Error P
Waist circumference
  5 to 7 years
    Intercept 2.26 4.55 .6194 −17.96 5.18 .0005
    A 1.08 0.36 .0027 −0.96 0.43 .0265
    B −0.32 0.31 .2939 0.83 0.28 .0033
    C 0.07 0.02 .0006 0.13 0.03 <.0001
  8 to 12 years
    Intercept −3.21 2.42 .1848 −12.46 2.7 <.0001
    A 1.22 0.31 <.0001 0.2 0.26 .4422
    B −0.07 0.12 .5763 0.39 0.12 .0014
    C 0.13 0.03 .0002 0.17 0.05 .0008
  13 to 18 years
    Intercept −4.96 2.34 .0339 −11.69 2.49 <.0001
    A 1.59 0.28 <.0001 0.15 0.16 .3681
    B 0 0.09 .9975 0.32 0.07 <.0001
    C 0.15 0.05 .0023 0.16 0.04 .0002
Metabolic syndrome
  5 to 7 years
    Intercept −0.84 4.03 .835 −0.81 4.1 .8436
    A 0.46 0.3 .126 0.46 0.36 .2008
    B −0.13 0.27 .6411 −0.2 0.24 .4067
    C 0.06 0.02 .0006 0.08 0.02 .0003
  8 to 12 years
    Intercept 2.24 2.61 .3913 −9.89 2.56 .0001
    A 1.72 0.36 <.0001 0.26 0.31 .4067
    B −0.42 0.14 .0037 0.12 0.11 .2763
    C 0.15 0.04 <.0001 0.18 0.05 <.0001
  13 to 18 years
    Intercept −6.68 2.07 .0013 −11.14 2.24 <.0001
    A 1.13 0.25 <.0001 0.3 0.2 .1344
    B −0.05 0.08 .5483 0.11 0.06 .0861
    C 0.22 0.04 <.0001 0.23 0.05 <.0001

Logistic model: Ln odds of adulthood waist circumference exceeds standard criteria = Intercept + a (yes(1)/no(0) childhood waist circumference exceeds criterion values) + b (childhood BMI) + c (age adulthood waist circumference exceeds standard criteria first discovered).