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. 2014 Apr 14;14:49. doi: 10.1186/1471-2415-14-49

Table 4.

Scenario analysis

Scenario analysis with constant costs for all Markov states (no cost reduction)
Time horizon 25 years
 
Deterministic
Probabilistic
 
 
 
Mean of 1000 simulations
Intervention Disc costs Disc QALYs Disc costs Disc QALYs
Argus II
293,807
7.34
294,083
7.35
CAU
201,094
4.44
200,995
4.43
Increment
92,712
2.91
93,088
2.93
ICERs
 
31,890
 
31,822
Time horizon 20 years
 
Deterministic
Probabilistic
 
 
 
Mean of 1000 simulations
Intervention
Disc costs
Disc QALYs
Disc costs
Disc QALYs
Argus II
265,906
6.31
266,216
6.32
CAU
173,408
3.82
173,323
3.82
Increment
92,498
2.49
92,893
2.50
ICERs
 
37,174
 
37,117
Time horizon 10 years
 
Deterministic
Probabilistic
 
 
 
Mean of 1000 simulations
Intervention
Disc costs
Disc QALYs
Disc costs
Disc QALYs
Argus II
193,336
3.59
193,730
3.59
CAU
101,473
2.24
101,423
2.23
Increment
91,864
1.35
92,307
1.36
ICERs   68,096   68,089