Skip to main content
. 2014 Apr 17;10(4):e1003581. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003581

Table 2. Comparisons of CDC, Mf, Ml, and GFT peak ILI values.

Influenza Season Year Week ILI Value Referent CDC ILI Value* % Difference from CDC ILI Value Peak Agrees with CDC
2007–2008
CDC Peak 2008 7 5.98
Mf Peak 2008 8 4.94 5.62 0.68 N
Ml Peak 2008 7 4.43 5.98 −1.55 Y
GFT Peak 2008 8 5.81 5.62 0.19 N
2008–2009
CDC Peak 2009 7 3.57
Mf Peak 2009 12 3.48 2.43 −1.05 N
Ml Peak 2009 12 3.33 2.43 0.90 N
GFT Peak 2009 8 3.50 3.37 0.13 N
2009–2010
CDC Peak 2009 43 7.72
Mf Peak 2009 43 8.36 7.72 −0.64 Y
Ml Peak 2009 44 8.66 7.55 1.11 N
GFT Peak 2009 43 7.11 7.72 −0.61 Y
2010–2011
CDC Peak 2011 4 4.55
CDC Peak 2011 6 4.55
Mf Peak 2011 6 5.84 4.55 −1.29 Y
Ml Peak 2011 6 5.73 4.55 1.18 Y
GFT Peak 2011 6 4.08 4.55 −0.47 Y
2011–2012
CDC Peak 2012 10 2.39
Mf Peak 2012 7 2.68 2.24 −0.44 N
Ml Peak 2012 7 2.85 2.24 −1.55 N
GFT Peak 2011 52 2.86 1.74 1.12 N
2012–2013
CDC Peak 2012 51 6.07
Mf Peak 2012 51 5.31 6.07 0.76 Y
Ml Peak 2012 52 5.40 4.65 −1.55 N
GFT Peak 2013 2 10.56 4.52 6.04 N

ILI: Influenza-like illness, CDC: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Mf: Full model, Ml: Lasso model, GFT: Google Flu Trends.

*Referent values are CDC ILI values for the corresponding week of the estimated ILI peak for Mf, Ml, and GFT.