Table 2. Comparisons of CDC, Mf, Ml, and GFT peak ILI values.
Influenza Season | Year | Week | ILI Value | Referent CDC ILI Value* | % Difference from CDC ILI Value | Peak Agrees with CDC |
2007–2008 | ||||||
CDC Peak | 2008 | 7 | 5.98 | |||
Mf Peak | 2008 | 8 | 4.94 | 5.62 | 0.68 | N |
Ml Peak | 2008 | 7 | 4.43 | 5.98 | −1.55 | Y |
GFT Peak | 2008 | 8 | 5.81 | 5.62 | 0.19 | N |
2008–2009 | ||||||
CDC Peak | 2009 | 7 | 3.57 | |||
Mf Peak | 2009 | 12 | 3.48 | 2.43 | −1.05 | N |
Ml Peak | 2009 | 12 | 3.33 | 2.43 | 0.90 | N |
GFT Peak | 2009 | 8 | 3.50 | 3.37 | 0.13 | N |
2009–2010 | ||||||
CDC Peak | 2009 | 43 | 7.72 | |||
Mf Peak | 2009 | 43 | 8.36 | 7.72 | −0.64 | Y |
Ml Peak | 2009 | 44 | 8.66 | 7.55 | 1.11 | N |
GFT Peak | 2009 | 43 | 7.11 | 7.72 | −0.61 | Y |
2010–2011 | ||||||
CDC Peak | 2011 | 4 | 4.55 | |||
CDC Peak | 2011 | 6 | 4.55 | |||
Mf Peak | 2011 | 6 | 5.84 | 4.55 | −1.29 | Y |
Ml Peak | 2011 | 6 | 5.73 | 4.55 | 1.18 | Y |
GFT Peak | 2011 | 6 | 4.08 | 4.55 | −0.47 | Y |
2011–2012 | ||||||
CDC Peak | 2012 | 10 | 2.39 | |||
Mf Peak | 2012 | 7 | 2.68 | 2.24 | −0.44 | N |
Ml Peak | 2012 | 7 | 2.85 | 2.24 | −1.55 | N |
GFT Peak | 2011 | 52 | 2.86 | 1.74 | 1.12 | N |
2012–2013 | ||||||
CDC Peak | 2012 | 51 | 6.07 | |||
Mf Peak | 2012 | 51 | 5.31 | 6.07 | 0.76 | Y |
Ml Peak | 2012 | 52 | 5.40 | 4.65 | −1.55 | N |
GFT Peak | 2013 | 2 | 10.56 | 4.52 | 6.04 | N |
ILI: Influenza-like illness, CDC: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Mf: Full model, Ml: Lasso model, GFT: Google Flu Trends.
*Referent values are CDC ILI values for the corresponding week of the estimated ILI peak for Mf, Ml, and GFT.