Table 3.
Expected changes due to health reform
| Specific dimension | Overall | |||
| OLS | Ordered Logit | OLS | Ordered Logit | |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
| No health insurance | 0.341*** (0.103) | 0.274*** (0.083) | 0.114*** (0.032) | 0.313*** (0.089) |
| Income <100 of FPL | 0.470*** (0.140) | 0.355*** (0.114) | 0.102** (0.042) | 0.289** (0.123) |
| Income 100–250 of FPL | 0.313*** (0.119) | 0.227** (0.098) | 0.081** (0.036) | 0.231** (0.107) |
| Income 251–400 of FPL | 0.234** (0.119) | 0.184* (0.099) | 0.053 (0.036) | 0.170(0.107) |
| Younger than 26 | 0.264* (0.156) | 0.262** (0.130) | −0.110** (0.046) | −0.268* (0.138) |
| 26–44 | 0.054 (0.081) | 0.036 (0.067) | −0.025 (0.025) | −0.056(0.072) |
| Female | −0.018 (0.077) | −0.019 (0.063) | 0.004 (0.024) | 0.022 (0.069) |
| Not married | 0.332*** (0.080) | 0.271*** (0.066) | 0.093*** (0.025) | 0.268*** (0.072) |
| Nonwhite | 0.575*** (0.089) | 0.448*** (0.075) | 0.318*** (0.028) | 0.890*** (0.081) |
| Hispanic | 0.445*** (0.097) | 0.341*** (0.080) | 0.188*** (0.030) | 0.557*** (0.086) |
| No degree | −0.230 (0.175) | −0.239 (0.159) | −0.216*** (0.059) | −0.617*** (0.173) |
| High school or equivalent | −0.417*** (0.142) | −0.360*** (0.119) | −0.250*** (0.044) | −0.704*** (0.128) |
| Some college | −0.581*** (0.132) | −0.519*** (0.109) | −0.216*** (0.040) | −0.606*** (0.117) |
| Associate degree | −0.774*** (0.155) | −0.666*** (0.125) | −0.221*** (0.046) | −0.610*** (0.133) |
| Bachelor's degree | −0.488*** (0.131) | −0.432*** (0.107) | −0.129*** (0.041) | −0.373*** (0.115) |
| Fair/poor health | 0.033 (0.107) | 0.028 (0.087) | 0.011 (0.033) | 0.037 (0.094) |
| State likely to expand Medicaid | 0.150 (0.130) | 0.106 (0.109) | 0.108** (0.042) | 0.311*** (0.120) |
| Federal exchange | −0.243* (0.126) | −0.163 (0.107) | −0.032 (0.042) | −0.091 (0.118) |
| Partnership exchange | −0.424*** (0.132) | −0.313*** (0.108) | −0.187*** (0.040) | −0.511*** (0.119) |
| Blue state in 2012 election | 0.344*** (0.097) | 0.297*** (0.080) | 0.121*** (0.030) | 0.361*** (0.087) |
| Constant | −1.828*** (0.184) | −0.341*** (0.060) | ||
| Number of observations | 3414 | 3414 | 3414 | 3414 |
Coefficients and SEs after OLS and ordered logit estimation respectively. Estimates of cutpoints for ordered logit models not reported. Columns 1 and 2 use an index that averages information on expected changes in five different dimensions (access to care, quality of care, waiting times, out-of-pocket costs, and costs for emergency care) as dependent variables. The index counts 1 for improvement, 0 for no change, and −1 for deterioration. Columns 3 and 4 use expected overall changes for the family as dependent variables. 1 indicates that family will be better off, 0 not much change, and −1 that family will be worse off.
*
P < 0.10, **P < 0.05, ***P < 0.01.