Marriage Cohort | Raw | Equal Weights | Varying Weights | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|||||||||||
Adjacent 3 cohorts | 5 cohorts | 7 cohorts | 9 cohorts | 11 cohorts | Adjacent 3 cohorts | 5 cohorts | 7 cohorts | 9 cohorts | 11 cohorts | ||
1960 | 0.3727 | 0.3633 | 0.3716 | 0.3742 | 0.3758 | 0.3814 | 0.3664 | 0.3690 | 0.3711 | 0.3726 | 0.3751 |
1961 | 0.3538 | 0.3716 | 0.3742 | 0.3758 | 0.3814 | 0.3862 | 0.3671 | 0.3707 | 0.3726 | 0.3754 | 0.3783 |
1962 | 0.3882 | 0.3747 | 0.3758 | 0.3814 | 0.3862 | 0.3888 | 0.3780 | 0.3768 | 0.3786 | 0.3810 | 0.3831 |
1963 | 0.3820 | 0.3841 | 0.3831 | 0.3862 | 0.3888 | 0.3900 | 0.3836 | 0.3833 | 0.3846 | 0.3860 | 0.3871 |
1964 | 0.3822 | 0.3912 | 0.3953 | 0.3910 | 0.3900 | 0.3966 | 0.3890 | 0.3925 | 0.3919 | 0.3912 | 0.3927 |
1965 | 0.4095 | 0.4022 | 0.3991 | 0.3976 | 0.3992 | 0.4003 | 0.4040 | 0.4013 | 0.3997 | 0.3995 | 0.3998 |
1966 | 0.4148 | 0.4104 | 0.4026 | 0.4073 | 0.4086 | 0.4073 | 0.4115 | 0.4066 | 0.4069 | 0.4075 | 0.4074 |
1967 | 0.4068 | 0.4071 | 0.4174 | 0.4153 | 0.4154 | 0.4169 | 0.4070 | 0.4128 | 0.4139 | 0.4144 | 0.4152 |
1968 | 0.3997 | 0.4208 | 0.4230 | 0.4249 | 0.4239 | 0.4213 | 0.4156 | 0.4197 | 0.4220 | 0.4227 | 0.4223 |
1969 | 0.4560 | 0.4312 | 0.4301 | 0.4320 | 0.4300 | 0.4301 | 0.4374 | 0.4333 | 0.4327 | 0.4317 | 0.4312 |
1970 | 0.4379 | 0.4479 | 0.4404 | 0.4351 | 0.4377 | 0.4376 | 0.4454 | 0.4426 | 0.4393 | 0.4387 | 0.4384 |
1971 | 0.4499 | 0.4488 | 0.4478 | 0.4454 | 0.4432 | 0.4455 | 0.4491 | 0.4484 | 0.4471 | 0.4457 | 0.4456 |
1972 | 0.4587 | 0.4484 | 0.4524 | 0.4546 | 0.4533 | 0.4512 | 0.4510 | 0.4518 | 0.4530 | 0.4531 | 0.4525 |
1973 | 0.4366 | 0.4581 | 0.4577 | 0.4605 | 0.4619 | 0.4608 | 0.4527 | 0.4555 | 0.4577 | 0.4592 | 0.4597 |
1974 | 0.4788 | 0.4599 | 0.4672 | 0.4662 | 0.4682 | 0.4712 | 0.4646 | 0.4660 | 0.4661 | 0.4669 | 0.4682 |
1975 | 0.4643 | 0.4802 | 0.4709 | 0.4751 | 0.4766 | 0.4755 | 0.4762 | 0.4733 | 0.4741 | 0.4750 | 0.4751 |
1976 | 0.4973 | 0.4798 | 0.4861 | 0.4829 | 0.4826 | 0.4829 | 0.4842 | 0.4852 | 0.4842 | 0.4836 | 0.4834 |
1977 | 0.4777 | 0.4958 | 0.4930 | 0.4926 | 0.4892 | 0.4921 | 0.4912 | 0.4922 | 0.4924 | 0.4912 | 0.4915 |
1978 | 0.5123 | 0.5011 | 0.5010 | 0.4982 | 0.5019 | 0.4993 | 0.5039 | 0.5023 | 0.5005 | 0.5010 | 0.5005 |
1979 | 0.5134 | 0.5099 | 0.5052 | 0.5106 | 0.5085 | 0.5069 | 0.5108 | 0.5077 | 0.5090 | 0.5088 | 0.5082 |
1980 | 0.5040 | 0.5120 | 0.5198 | 0.5164 | 0.5148 | 0.5118 | 0.5100 | 0.5155 | 0.5159 | 0.5155 | 0.5144 |
1981 | 0.5186 | 0.5245 | 0.5250 | 0.5226 | 0.5186 | 0.5139 | 0.5230 | 0.5241 | 0.5235 | 0.5217 | 0.5193 |
1982 | 0.5509 | 0.5359 | 0.5265 | 0.5254 | 0.5197 | 0.5165 | 0.5396 | 0.5323 | 0.5293 | 0.5258 | 0.5230 |
1983 | 0.5382 | 0.5366 | 0.5321 | 0.5217 | 0.5213 | 0.5214 | 0.5370 | 0.5343 | 0.5288 | 0.5261 | 0.5246 |
1984 | 0.5207 | 0.5303 | 0.5258 | 0.5248 | 0.5233 | 0.5232 | 0.5279 | 0.5268 | 0.5259 | 0.5250 | 0.5244 |
1985 | 0.5321 | 0.5134 | 0.5209 | 0.5268 | 0.5264 | 0.5234 | 0.5180 | 0.5196 | 0.5228 | 0.5241 | 0.5239 |
1986 | 0.4873 | 0.5152 | 0.5197 | 0.5240 | 0.5261 | 0.5252 | 0.5082 | 0.5146 | 0.5187 | 0.5214 | 0.5225 |
1987 | 0.5262 | 0.5152 | 0.5219 | 0.5209 | 0.5230 | 0.5237 | 0.5180 | 0.5201 | 0.5205 | 0.5214 | 0.5221 |
1988 | 0.5322 | 0.5300 | 0.5187 | 0.5212 | 0.5191 | 0.5202 | 0.5305 | 0.5240 | 0.5228 | 0.5214 | 0.5211 |
1989 | 0.5316 | 0.5267 | 0.5258 | 0.5170 | 0.5182 | 0.5180 | 0.5279 | 0.5267 | 0.5225 | 0.5209 | 0.5200 |
1990 | 0.5162 | 0.5235 | 0.5211 | 0.5206 | 0.5162 | 0.5163 | 0.5217 | 0.5214 | 0.5210 | 0.5193 | 0.5184 |
1991 | 0.5229 | 0.5139 | 0.5172 | 0.5188 | 0.5178 | 0.5154 | 0.5162 | 0.5167 | 0.5177 | 0.5177 | 0.5170 |
1992 | 0.5028 | 0.5127 | 0.5136 | 0.5145 | 0.5173 | 0.5186 | 0.5102 | 0.5121 | 0.5132 | 0.5147 | 0.5159 |
1993 | 0.5126 | 0.5097 | 0.5108 | 0.5132 | 0.5162 | 0.5185 | 0.5104 | 0.5106 | 0.5117 | 0.5133 | 0.5149 |
1994 | 0.5137 | 0.5094 | 0.5106 | 0.5140 | 0.5155 | 0.5174 | 0.5105 | 0.5106 | 0.5121 | 0.5133 | 0.5146 |
1995 | 0.5019 | 0.5126 | 0.5145 | 0.5144 | 0.5160 | 0.5163 | 0.5099 | 0.5125 | 0.5133 | 0.5143 | 0.5149 |
1996 | 0.5222 | 0.5154 | 0.5171 | 0.5169 | 0.5156 | 0.5148 | 0.5171 | 0.5171 | 0.5170 | 0.5165 | 0.5160 |
1997 | 0.5220 | 0.5233 | 0.5183 | 0.5179 | 0.5153 | 0.5134 | 0.5230 | 0.5204 | 0.5193 | 0.5179 | 0.5165 |
1998 | 0.5255 | 0.5225 | 0.5219 | 0.5159 | 0.5147 | 0.5133 | 0.5233 | 0.5225 | 0.5196 | 0.5179 | 0.5165 |
1999 | 0.5201 | 0.5218 | 0.5174 | 0.5167 | 0.5133 | 0.5141 | 0.5214 | 0.5192 | 0.5181 | 0.5164 | 0.5157 |
2000 | 0.5199 | 0.5132 | 0.5145 | 0.5136 | 0.5155 | 0.5113 | 0.5148 | 0.5147 | 0.5142 | 0.5147 | 0.5136 |
2001 | 0.4996 | 0.5090 | 0.5096 | 0.5136 | 0.5111 | 0.5122 | 0.5067 | 0.5083 | 0.5106 | 0.5108 | 0.5112 |
2002 | 0.5076 | 0.5027 | 0.5100 | 0.5075 | 0.5097 | 0.5111 | 0.5039 | 0.5073 | 0.5074 | 0.5081 | 0.5089 |
2003 | 0.5009 | 0.5101 | 0.5025 | 0.5054 | 0.5075 | 0.5097 | 0.5078 | 0.5048 | 0.5050 | 0.5058 | 0.5069 |
2004 | 0.5219 | 0.5017 | 0.5032 | 0.5025 | 0.5054 | 0.5075 | 0.5068 | 0.5050 | 0.5040 | 0.5044 | 0.5052 |
2005 | 0.4823 | 0.5021 | 0.5017 | 0.5032 | 0.5025 | 0.5054 | 0.4955 | 0.4986 | 0.5004 | 0.5011 | 0.5023 |
Note: Homogamy indicators are constructed by the forces of attraction based on age groups of five years. Specifically, we divide individuals into age groups 15-19, 20-24, 25-29, 30-35, 36-40 and 41-50. Moving averages are calculated to smooth the trend, and are computed respectively with equal and varying weights for the adjacent 3, 5, 7, 9 and 11 marriage cohorts. For those with three adjacent cohorts, weights applied are respectively ¼, ½ and ¼; for those with five adjacent cohorts, weights applied are respectively 1/9, 2/9, 1/3, 2/9 and 1/9; for those with seven adjacent cohorts, weights applied are respectively 1/16, 1/8, 3/16, 1/4, 3/16, 1/8 and 1/16; for those with nine adjacent cohorts, weights applied are respectively 1/25, 2/25, 3/25, 4/25, 1/5, 4/25, 3/25, 2/25 and 1/25; for those with eleven adjacent cohorts, weights applied are respectively 1/36, 1/18, 1/12, 1/9, 5/36, 1/6, 5/36, 1/9, 1/12, 1/18 and 1/36.
Source: China 2005 1% Population Inter-census Survey.