Table 4.
Parameter | Base Case (Range) | Threshold, CT Most Effective Strategy: Willingness To Pay $50,000 | Threshold, CT Most Effective Strategy: Willingness To Pay $100,000 |
---|---|---|---|
Probabilities | |||
Prevalence of Appendicitis | 0.30 (0.24–0.37) | never | never |
CT | |||
Sensitivity | 0.86 (0.64–0.97) | never | never |
Specificity | 0.97 (0.86–1.00) | > 0.991 | > 0.993 |
MRI | |||
Sensitivity | 0.80 (0.44–0.97) | never | never |
Specificity | 0.99 (0.94–1.00) | < 0.969 | < 0.967 |
Costs | |||
CT | $694 ($480–$941) | never | never |
MRI | $1,274 ($940 – $10,441) | > $3,98** | > $7,068*** |
Depicted here are the model parameters for which there existed threshold values within the uncertainty ranges noted in Table 1.
3.1x Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services cost for MRI with other test costs conservatively held at 1.0x CMS
5.6x Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services cost for MRI with other test costs conservatively held at 1.0x CMS