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. 2014 Apr 14;14:170. doi: 10.1186/1472-6963-14-170

Table 1.

Input parameters used in economic model

Parameter Distribution Mean SE Reference
Yearly discount rate (%)
 
 
 
 
Costs and outcomes (range)
 
3 (0-6)
 
[51]
Transitional probability baseline parameters
 
 
 
 
Probability of stable to CHB state
Beta
0.143
0.0650
[31]
Probability of CHB to stable state
Beta
0.056
0.0180
[32]
Probability of CHB to compensated in 1st-10th year
Beta
0.054
0.0543
[33]
Probability of CHB to compensated in 11th-20th year
Beta
0.134
0.1338
[33]
Probability of CHB to compensated in >20th year
Beta
0.329
0.3292
[33]
Probability of CHB to HCC in 1st-5th year
Beta
0.000
0.0000
[34]
Probability of CHB to HCC in 6th-10th year
Beta
0.006
0.0061
[34]
Probability of CHB to HCC in >10th year
Beta
0.008
0.0081
[34]
Probability of CHB to death in 1st-5th year
Beta
0.010
0.0102
[34]
Probability of CHB to death in 6th-10th year
Beta
0.014
0.0144
[34]
Probability of CHB to death in >10th year
Beta
0.025
0.0252
[34]
Probability of compensated to decompensated in 1st-3rd year
Normal
0.042
0.0003
[35]
Probability of compensated to decompensated in 4th-5th year
Normal
0.094
0.0005
[35]
Probability of compensated to decompensated in >5th year
Normal
0.066
0.0003
[35]
Probability of compensated to HCC in 1st-3rd year
Normal
0.014
0.0002
[35]
Probability of compensated to in HCC 4th-5th year
Normal
0.036
0.0003
[35]
Probability of compensated to HCC in >5th year
Normal
0.030
0.0002
[35]
Probability of compensated to death in 1st-3rd year
Beta
0.014
0.0135
[35]
Probability of compensated to death in >3rd year
Beta
0.046
0.0461
[35]
Probability of decompensated to HCC
Beta
0.035
0.0354
[36]
Probability of decompensated to death in 1st year
Normal
0.260
0.0004
[37]
Probability of decompensated to death in 2nd year
Normal
0.390
0.0005
[37]
Probability of decompensated to death in >2nd year
Normal
0.240
0.0003
[37]
Probability of HCC to death in 1st year
Beta
0.848
0.0011
[37]
Probability of HCC to death in >1st year
Beta
0.920
0.0009
[37]
Transitional probability of treatment parameters
 
 
 
 
Probability of CHB to compensated
Beta
0.006
0.0023
[38]
Probability of CHB to HCC
Beta
0.009
0.0045
[39]
Probability of CHB to death
Beta
0.002
0.0023
[39]
Probability of compensated to HCC
Beta
0.015
0.0034
[40]
Probability of compensated to death
Beta
0.007
0.0070
[39]
Probability of decompensated to HCC
Beta
0.035
0.0127
[41]
Probability of decompensated to death
Beta
0.126
0.0291
[42]
Probability of compensated to CHB
Beta
0.478
0.0665
[43]
Probability of HCC to death
Beta
0.034
0.0227
[44]
Relative risk of seroconversion of lamivudine
Normal
3.519
1.3707
[30]
Relative risk of seroconversion of adefovir
Normal
3.028
1.3833
[30]
Relative risk of seroconversion of telbivudine
Normal
4.286
1.4054
[30]
Relative risk of seroconversion of entecavir
Normal
3.846
1.3833
[30]
Relative risk of seroconversion of pegylated interferon
Normal
5.356
1.4987
[30]
Relative risk of seroconversion of tenofovir
Normal
4.167
1.6403
[30]
Probability of delay seroconversion of pegylated interferon
Normal
0.410
0.0489
[27]
Probability of lamivudine resistance
Beta
0.214
0.0214
[28]
Probability of adefovir resistance
Beta
0.066
0.0066
[28]
Probability of telbivudine resistance
Beta
0.089
0.0089
[28]
Probability of entecavir resistance
Beta
0.002
0.0002
[28]
Probability of tenofovir resistance
Beta
0.000
0.0000
[28]
Annual direct medical cost
 
 
 
 
Cost of generic lamivudine
Gamma
1,797
180
[46]
Cost of original lamivudine
Gamma
34,871
3,487
[46]
Cost of adefovir
Gamma
70,298
7,030
[46]
Cost of telbivudine
Gamma
51,504
5,150
[46]
Cost of entecavir
Gamma
85,745
8,575
[46]
Cost of tenofovir
Gamma
15,559
1,556
[46]
Cost of pegylated interferon
Gamma
527,379
52,738
[46]
Cost of treatment of compensated cirrhosis
Gamma
81,264
81,264
[48]
Cost of treatment of decompensated cirrhosis
Gamma
125,127
125,127
[48]
Cost of treatment of HCC
Gamma
153,021
153,021
[48]
Cost of laboratory for screening (i.e., HBeAg, HBeAb)
Gamma
650
650
[47]
Cost of laboratory for pre-treatment
Gamma
3,350
3,350
[47]
Cost of laboratory for monitoring
Gamma
4,200
4,200
[47]
Cost of laboratory monitoring for pegylated interferon
Gamma
10,620
10,620
[47]
Cost of laboratory monitor for adefovir
Gamma
4,560
4,560
[47]
Cost of laboratory for post-treatment
Gamma
4,900
4,900
[47]
Annual direct non-medical cost
 
 
 
 
Cost of transportation
Gamma
571
571
[54]
Cost of food
Gamma
210
210
[54]
Annual indirect cost
 
 
 
 
Cost of time loss due to receiving treatment
Gamma
824
824
[49]
Cost of productivity loss of compensated cirrhosis
Gamma
48
48
[48,49]
Cost of productivity loss of decompensated cirrhosis
Gamma
627
627
[48,49]
Cost of productivity loss of HCC
Gamma
1,701
1,701
[48,49]
Utility
 
 
 
 
Utility weight for CHB
Normal
0.68
0.00005
[53]
Utility weight for compensated cirrhosis
Normal
0.69
0.00016
[53]
Utility weight for decompensated cirrhosis
Normal
0.35
0.00031
[53]
Utility weight for HCC Normal 0.38 0.00026 [53]