Table 1.
(a) MSE for the training observations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
True M | x model | Cov model | Stationary | CDC | Kernel Con. |
1 | Linear | Expo | 0.102 (0.001) | 0.102 (0.001) | 0.100 (0.001) |
1 | Linear | Matérn | 0.118 (0.005) | 0.107 (0.003) | 0.149 (0.006) |
2 | Linear | Expo | 0.501 (0.010) | 0.106 (0.002) | 0.124 (0.002) |
2 | Linear | Matérn | 0.172 (0.007) | 0.087 (0.001) | 0.091 (0.001) |
2 | Periodic | Expo | 0.698 (0.018) | 0.106 (0.002) | 0.682 (0.014) |
2 | Periodic | Matérn | 0.101 (0.001) | 0.087 (0.001) | 0.105 (0.003) |
(b) MSE for the testing observations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
True M | x model | Cov model | Stationary | CDC | Kernel Con. |
1 | Linear | Expo | 0.495 (0.007) | 0.494 (0.007) | 0.506 (0.008) |
1 | Linear | Matérn | 0.638 (0.007) | 0.638 (0.007) | 0.642 (0.008) |
2 | Linear | Expo | 0.753 (0.013) | 0.721 (0.013) | 0.765 (0.013) |
2 | Linear | Matérn | 0.437 (0.012) | 0.424 (0.013) | 0.433 (0.012) |
2 | Periodic | Expo | 0.835 (0.012) | 0.738 (0.011) | 0.835 (0.013) |
2 | Periodic | Matérn | 0.620 (0.015) | 0.469 (0.015) | 0.727 (0.023) |
(c) Coverage probabilities of 90% intervals for the testing observations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
True M | x model | Cov model | Stationary | CDC | Kernel Con. |
1 | Linear | Expo | 0.89 (0.01) | 0.89 (0.01) | 0.91 (0.01) |
1 | Linear | Matérn | 0.89 (0.01) | 0.90 (0.01) | 0.88 (0.01) |
2 | Linear | Expo | 0.68 (0.01) | 0.88 (0.01) | 0.86 (0.01) |
2 | Linear | Matérn | 0.83 (0.01) | 0.92 (0.01) | 0.85 (0.01) |
2 | Periodic | Expo | 0.51 (0.02) | 0.89 (0.01) | 0.52 (0.02) |
2 | Periodic | Matérn | 0.91 (0.01) | 0.91 (0.01) | 0.78 (0.01) |