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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Apr 24.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Appl Stat. 2011 Dec 1;5(4):2265–2687. doi: 10.1214/11-AOAS482

Table 1.

Simulation study results. Values reported as the mean (standard error) over the S = 25 data sets. The three models fit to each data set are the stationary model (“Stationary”), covariate dependent covariance model (“CDC”), and the non-stationary kernel convolution model (“Kernel Con.”).

(a) MSE for the training observations
True M x model Cov model Stationary CDC Kernel Con.
1 Linear Expo 0.102 (0.001) 0.102 (0.001) 0.100 (0.001)
1 Linear Matérn 0.118 (0.005) 0.107 (0.003) 0.149 (0.006)
2 Linear Expo 0.501 (0.010) 0.106 (0.002) 0.124 (0.002)
2 Linear Matérn 0.172 (0.007) 0.087 (0.001) 0.091 (0.001)
2 Periodic Expo 0.698 (0.018) 0.106 (0.002) 0.682 (0.014)
2 Periodic Matérn 0.101 (0.001) 0.087 (0.001) 0.105 (0.003)
(b) MSE for the testing observations
True M x model Cov model Stationary CDC Kernel Con.
1 Linear Expo 0.495 (0.007) 0.494 (0.007) 0.506 (0.008)
1 Linear Matérn 0.638 (0.007) 0.638 (0.007) 0.642 (0.008)
2 Linear Expo 0.753 (0.013) 0.721 (0.013) 0.765 (0.013)
2 Linear Matérn 0.437 (0.012) 0.424 (0.013) 0.433 (0.012)
2 Periodic Expo 0.835 (0.012) 0.738 (0.011) 0.835 (0.013)
2 Periodic Matérn 0.620 (0.015) 0.469 (0.015) 0.727 (0.023)
(c) Coverage probabilities of 90% intervals for the testing observations
True M x model Cov model Stationary CDC Kernel Con.
1 Linear Expo 0.89 (0.01) 0.89 (0.01) 0.91 (0.01)
1 Linear Matérn 0.89 (0.01) 0.90 (0.01) 0.88 (0.01)
2 Linear Expo 0.68 (0.01) 0.88 (0.01) 0.86 (0.01)
2 Linear Matérn 0.83 (0.01) 0.92 (0.01) 0.85 (0.01)
2 Periodic Expo 0.51 (0.02) 0.89 (0.01) 0.52 (0.02)
2 Periodic Matérn 0.91 (0.01) 0.91 (0.01) 0.78 (0.01)