Table 1.
No | Year | Study | Variables | Scoring system | Endpoints | Results1 | Strengths | Weakness |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
1997 |
Martin et al. |
• Abnormal ECG |
0 to 4 |
1-year arrhythmias or deaths |
4.4% score 0 |
One of the earliest studies |
Only long-term outcomes |
• History of ventricular arrhythmia |
(1 point for each item) |
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• History of CHF |
57.6% score 3 or 4 |
Not validated |
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• Age >45 years | ||||||||
2 |
2002 |
OESIL |
• Abnormal ECG |
0 to 4 |
1-year mortality |
0% score 0 |
Externally validated for |
Only long-term outcomes |
• History of cardiovascular disease |
(1 point for each item) |
0.6% score |
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• Lack of prodrome |
14% score 2 |
up to 6 month outcomes |
Modest performance for outcomes up to 6 months |
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• Age >65 years | ||||||||
29% score 3 | ||||||||
53% score 4 | ||||||||
3 |
2003 |
Sarasin et al. |
• Age >65 years |
0 to 3 |
Arrhythmias in unexplained ED syncope |
2% score 0 |
Studied arrhythmia risk in unexplained syncope |
Only inpatients |
• History of CHF |
(1 point for each item) |
17% score 1 |
Internal validation on historical cohort |
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Abnormal ECG |
35% score 2 |
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27% score 3 | ||||||||
No external validation | ||||||||
4 |
2004 |
San Francisco Syncope Rule |
• Abnormal ECG |
No item = No risk |
7-day serious events |
Sensitivity 98% |
First tool for short-term events |
Wide variations in performance |
• History of CHF | ||||||||
• Shortness of breath | ||||||||
• Hematocrit < 30% |
≥ 1 item = risk |
Specificity 56% |
Most widely validated |
ECG variable too broad |
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• Triage systolic BP <90 mmHg | ||||||||
Included soft outcomes2 | ||||||||
5 |
2007 |
Boston Syncope Rule |
• Compilation of 25 plausible variables |
≥ 1 item = risk |
30-day serious events |
Sensitivity 97% |
A thorough list of variables |
No statistical methods |
Specificity 62% |
Not practical |
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No external validation | ||||||||
6 |
2008 |
STePS |
• Abnormal ECG |
≥ 1 item = risk |
10-day and 1-year events |
Not Reported |
Addresses the role of admissions to hospital |
Readmission to hospital was an outcome |
• Trauma | ||||||||
• No prodrome | ||||||||
• Male sex | ||||||||
Not validated | ||||||||
7 |
2008 |
EGSYS |
• Palpitations before syncope (+4) |
Addition of all items |
Cardiac syncope probability |
2% score <3 |
First study to incorporate variables from history |
Not generalizable - Syncope expert always available |
• Abnormal ECG and/or heart disease (+3) | ||||||||
• Syncope during effort (+3) |
2-year total mortality |
13% score 3 |
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• Syncope while supine (+2) |
33% score 4 |
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77% score >4 |
Internal validation 92% sensitivity |
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2% score <3 | ||||||||
21% score ≥3 |
No robust external validation |
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• Autonomic prodrome (−1) | ||||||||
8 |
2009 |
Sun et al. |
• Age >90 years (+1) |
Addition of all items |
30-day events among older (≥ 60 years) syncope patients |
2.5% score −1, 0 |
First study to risk stratify older patients |
Retrospective |
• Male sex (+1) | ||||||||
• History of arrhythmia (+1) |
6.3% score 1,2 |
Can be applied only to older patients |
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• Triage systolic BP >160 (+1) |
Large sample size |
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• Abnormal ECG (+1) | ||||||||
• Abnormal troponin I (+1) |
20% score 3 to 6 |
Not validated |
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• Near-syncope (−1) | ||||||||
9 | 2010 | ROSE | • BNP level ≥300 pg/ml |
Presence of any item | 1-month serious events | Sensitivity 87% |
First study to evaluate the role of BNP in risk stratification | Short-term events included stroke |
• Bradycardia ≤50 in ED/pre-hospital | ||||||||
• Positive fecal occult blood on rectal |
Specificity 66% | |||||||
• Anemia – Hemoglobin ≤ 90 g/L |
Requires BNP testing that is not widely available |
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• Chest pain with syncope | ||||||||
• Q wave on ECG (except in lead III) | ||||||||
• O2 saturation ≤ 94% on room air | Less than ideal sensitivity |
ECG = Electrocardiogram, CHF = Congestive Heart Failure, OESIL = Osservatorio Epidemiologico sulla Sincope nel Lazio, BP = Blood Pressure, STePS = Short-Term Prognosis of Syncope, EGSYS = Evaluation of Guidelines in Syncope Study, BNP = Brain type or B-type Natriuretic Peptide.
1Results of validation phase when available.
2Soft outcomes = Cortical stroke and hospitalization on return visit with no serious events.
All studies used standard statistical methods to develop the tool except the Boston Syncope Rule study.