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. 2014 Mar 14;14:8. doi: 10.1186/1471-227X-14-8

Table 1.

Emergency department syncope studies

No Year Study Variables Scoring system Endpoints Results1 Strengths Weakness
1
1997
Martin et al.
• Abnormal ECG
0 to 4
1-year arrhythmias or deaths
4.4% score 0
One of the earliest studies
Only long-term outcomes
• History of ventricular arrhythmia
(1 point for each item)
• History of CHF
57.6% score 3 or 4
Not validated
• Age >45 years
2
2002
OESIL
• Abnormal ECG
0 to 4
1-year mortality
0% score 0
Externally validated for
Only long-term outcomes
• History of cardiovascular disease
(1 point for each item)
0.6% score
• Lack of prodrome
14% score 2
up to 6 month outcomes
Modest performance for outcomes up to 6 months
• Age >65 years
29% score 3
53% score 4
3
2003
Sarasin et al.
• Age >65 years
0 to 3
Arrhythmias in unexplained ED syncope
2% score 0
Studied arrhythmia risk in unexplained syncope
Only inpatients
• History of CHF
(1 point for each item)
17% score 1
Internal validation on historical cohort
Abnormal ECG
35% score 2
27% score 3
No external validation
4
2004
San Francisco Syncope Rule
• Abnormal ECG
No item = No risk
7-day serious events
Sensitivity 98%
First tool for short-term events
Wide variations in performance
• History of CHF
• Shortness of breath
• Hematocrit < 30%
≥ 1 item = risk
Specificity 56%
Most widely validated
ECG variable too broad
• Triage systolic BP <90 mmHg
Included soft outcomes2
5
2007
Boston Syncope Rule
• Compilation of 25 plausible variables
≥ 1 item = risk
30-day serious events
Sensitivity 97%
A thorough list of variables
No statistical methods
Specificity 62%
Not practical
No external validation
6
2008
STePS
• Abnormal ECG
≥ 1 item = risk
10-day and 1-year events
Not Reported
Addresses the role of admissions to hospital
Readmission to hospital was an outcome
• Trauma
• No prodrome
• Male sex
Not validated
7
2008
EGSYS
• Palpitations before syncope (+4)
Addition of all items
Cardiac syncope probability
2% score <3
First study to incorporate variables from history
Not generalizable - Syncope expert always available
• Abnormal ECG and/or heart disease (+3)
• Syncope during effort (+3)
2-year total mortality
13% score 3
• Syncope while supine (+2)
33% score 4
77% score >4
Internal validation 92% sensitivity
2% score <3
21% score ≥3
No robust external validation
• Autonomic prodrome (−1)
8
2009
Sun et al.
• Age >90 years (+1)
Addition of all items
30-day events among older (≥ 60 years) syncope patients
2.5% score −1, 0
First study to risk stratify older patients
Retrospective
• Male sex (+1)
• History of arrhythmia (+1)
6.3% score 1,2
Can be applied only to older patients
• Triage systolic BP >160 (+1)
Large sample size
• Abnormal ECG (+1)
• Abnormal troponin I (+1)
20% score 3 to 6
Not validated
• Near-syncope (−1)
9 2010 ROSE • BNP level ≥300 pg/ml
Presence of any item 1-month serious events Sensitivity 87%
First study to evaluate the role of BNP in risk stratification Short-term events included stroke
• Bradycardia ≤50 in ED/pre-hospital
• Positive fecal occult blood on rectal
Specificity 66%
• Anemia – Hemoglobin ≤ 90 g/L
Requires BNP testing that is not widely available
• Chest pain with syncope
• Q wave on ECG (except in lead III)
• O2 saturation ≤ 94% on room air Less than ideal sensitivity

ECG = Electrocardiogram, CHF = Congestive Heart Failure, OESIL = Osservatorio Epidemiologico sulla Sincope nel Lazio, BP = Blood Pressure, STePS = Short-Term Prognosis of Syncope, EGSYS = Evaluation of Guidelines in Syncope Study, BNP = Brain type or B-type Natriuretic Peptide.

1Results of validation phase when available.

2Soft outcomes = Cortical stroke and hospitalization on return visit with no serious events.

All studies used standard statistical methods to develop the tool except the Boston Syncope Rule study.