Table 3. 5-, 10-, and 15-year predicted risk and 95% confidence interval for hepatocellular carcinoma among all anti-HCV seropositives (N = 975).
Sum of risk score | 5-year predicted risk (95% CI), % | 10-year predicted risk (95% CI), % | 15-year predicted risk (95% CI), % |
0 | 0.02 (0.01–0.04) | 0.08 (0.04–0.12) | 0.19 (0.11–0.26) |
1 | 0.03 (0.01–0.06) | 0.11 (0.06–0.16) | 0.26 (0.16–0.36) |
2 | 0.04 (0.01–0.08) | 0.15 (0.08–0.22) | 0.36 (0.22–0.49) |
3 | 0.06 (0.02–0.11) | 0.21 (0.11–0.31) | 0.49 (0.30–0.68) |
4 | 0.09 (0.02–0.15) | 0.29 (0.15–0.43) | 0.68 (0.42–0.94) |
5 | 0.12 (0.03–0.20) | 0.40 (0.21–0.59) | 0.94 (0.58–1.31) |
6 | 0.16 (0.05–0.28) | 0.55 (0.29–0.81) | 1.30 (0.80–1.80) |
7 | 0.23 (0.06–0.39) | 0.76 (0.40–1.13) | 1.80 (1.11–2.49) |
8 | 0.31 (0.09–0.54) | 1.06 (0.55–1.56) | 2.49 (1.53–3.43) |
9 | 0.44 (0.12–0.75) | 1.46 (0.77–2.15) | 3.43 (2.12–4.72) |
10 | 0.60 (0.17–1.04) | 2.02 (1.06–2.97) | 4.72 (2.92–6.48) |
11 | 0.83 (0.23–1.43) | 2.78 (1.47–4.09) | 6.48 (4.03–8.87) |
12 | 1.15 (0.32–1.98) | 3.84 (2.03–5.61) | 8.86 (5.53–12.07) |
13 | 1.59 (0.44–2.73) | 5.27 (2.80–7.69) | 12.06 (7.58–16.32) |
14 | 2.20 (0.61–3.76) | 7.23 (3.85–10.49) | 16.31 (10.34–21.87) |
15 | 3.03 (0.85–5.17) | 9.88 (5.29–14.23) | 21.85 (14.04–28.96) |
16 | 4.18 (1.18–7.09) | 13.41 (7.26–19.16) | 28.93 (18.90–37.72) |
17 | 5.74 (1.62–9.68) | 18.09 (9.91–25.52) | 37.69 (25.19–48.11) |
18 | 7.86 (2.24–13.16) | 24.15 (13.46–33.51) | 48.07 (33.10–59.69) |
19 | 10.72 (3.09–17.75) | 31.81 (18.15–43.18) | 59.66 (42.70–71.60) |
20 | 14.54 (4.26–23.71) | 41.15 (24.23–54.03) | 71.56 (53.76–82.51) |
21 | 19.55 (5.85–31.26) | 52.03 (31.91–66.20) | 82.48 (65.65–91.06) |
22 | 26.02 (8.01–40.51) | 63.85 (41.27–77.74) | 91.04 (77.24–96.48) |