Table 4. The RS is computed on an ensemble of 192 points starting retrospectively at two days before the election day.
Northern Italy | Central Italy | Southern Italy + Islands | ||||
Parties A,B | Ratio | Ratio | Ratio | |||
M5S,PD | ||||||
M5S,PDL | ||||||
M5S,SC | ||||||
M5S,Small | ||||||
PD,PDL | 1.31±0.20 | |||||
PD,SC | ||||||
PD,Small | ||||||
PDL,SC | ||||||
PDL,Small | ||||||
SC,Small |
Every point corresponds to one hour, so that the whole period analyzed goes from 10 days before the elections to 2 days before the election. We keep the list of ratios the same as in the main paper, reflecting the strength of parties at a national level, despite the fact that some of these ratios are now different. “Ratio” represents the ratio of votes obtained by the two parties in the first column, i.e. votes(A)/votes(B). Even the numerical agreement with the ratio in terms of votes seems rather good. Only the cells whose font is bond present deviations from expected.