Table 2.
Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) [and 95% confidence interval (CI)] in predicting CHD by using various anthropometric measures obtained in 1986 among women in the Nurses’ Health Study
| CHD within 10 years | All CHD (within 16 years) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Measure | AUC (95% CI) | Difference of AUC vs. Waist-Height Ratio (95% CI) | AUC (95% CI) | Difference of AUC vs. Waist-Height Ratio (95% CI) |
| Waist-Height Ratio | ||||
| Unadjusted | 0.64 (0.61, 0.67) | 0.62 (0.60, 0.64) | ||
| Age Adjusted | 0.61 (0.58, 0.64) | 0.59 (0.57, 0.61) | ||
| Adjusteda | 0.59 (0.56, 0.62) | 0.58 (0.56,0.60) | ||
| Adjustedb | 0.55 (0.52,0.58) | 0.55 (0.53,0.57) | ||
|
Waist Circumference | ||||
| Unadjusted | 0.63 (0.60,0.66) | −0.010 (−0.018,−0.002) | 0.62 (0.60,0.64) | −0.008 (−0.013,−0.002) |
| Age Adjusted | 0.60 (0.57,0.63) | −0.008 (−0.017,0.001) | 0.59 (0.56,0.61) | −0.005 (−0.011,0.001) |
| Adjusteda | 0.58 (0.55,0.61) | −0.008 (−0.017,0.001) | 0.58 (0.55,0.60) | −0.005 (−0.011,0.001) |
| Adjustedb | 0.54 (0.51,0.57) | −0.006 (−0.015,0.004) | 0.55 (0.52,0.57) | −0.004 (−0.010,0.002) |
|
Waist-Hip Ratio | ||||
| Unadjusted | 0.66 (0.63,0.69) | 0.020 (0.000,0.040) | 0.63 (0.61, 0.65) | 0.005 (−0.009,0.019) |
| Age Adjusted | 0.63 (0.60,0.66) | 0.018 (−0.003,0.039) | 0.59 (0.57, 0.61) | 0.004 (−0.011,0.019) |
| Adjusteda | 0.60 (0.57,0.63) | 0.006 (−0.016,0.028) | 0.57 (0.55,0.59) | −0.007 (−0.022,0.008) |
| Adjustedb | 0.56 (0.53,0.59) | 0.011 (−0.012,0.034) | 0.55 (0.52,0.57) | −0.004 (−0.020,0.012) |
|
Body Mass Index | ||||
| Unadjusted | 0.58 (0.55,0.61) | −0.057 (−0.074,−0.040) | 0.57 (0.55,0.59) | −0.051 (−0.062,−0.039) |
| Age Adjusted | 0.57 (0.54,0.60) | −0.040 (−0.057,−0.023) | 0.56 (0.54,0.58) | −0.032 (−0.044,−0.020) |
| Adjusteda | 0.57 (0.54,0.60) | −0.024 (−0.041,−0.006) | 0.56 (0.54,0.58) | −0.022 (−0.034,−0.010) |
| Adjustedb | 0.52 (0.49,0.56) | −0.022 (−0.040,−0.003) | 0.53 (0.51,0.55) | −0.022 (−0.035,−0.009) |
Residuals after additionally controlling for menopausal status (postmenopausal vs other), taking post-menopausal hormone therapy, parental history of myocardial infarction, cigarette smoking (never, ex-smokers, current use <15 per day, 15-24 per day, >24 per day), physical activity in MET-hours (quintiles), mean alcohol intake per day (none, use of 1-8 grams, use in excess of 8 grams), aspirin use (none, 1-14 days per month, >14 days per month).
Additional adjustment for history of diabetes mellitus, history of hypertension, and history of hypercholesterolemia.