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. 2014 May 10;383(9929):1655–1664. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(13)62417-4

Table 4.

Health harm reductions in year 10 with a £0·45 minimum unit price, by socioeconomic group

Population Routine or manual Intermediate Managerial or professional
Percentage of overall population* 10 588 (100%) 4407 (42%) 1791 (17%) 4390 (42%)
Baseline health harms in year 10
Deaths 9730 5550 1560 2620
Chronic illnesses (thousands) 309 162·5 54·8 92·0
Acute illnesses (thousands) 156 92·0 27·3 36·7
Hospital admissions (thousands) 763 413·3 133·9 215·7
QALYs (thousands) 925 552·7 159·7 213·3
Baseline cumulative discounted costs: years 1–10
Health-care costs (millions) £18 054 £10 436 £3182 £4436
QALY value (millions) £55 490 £33 164 £9585 £12 741
Total costs (millions) £73 544 £43 601 £12 766 £17 177
Annual changes in year 10
Deaths −860 −710 −70 −90
Reduction in deaths (%) −8·9% −12·7% −4·6% −3·3%
Chronic illnesses (thousands) −12·4 −10·5 −0·9 −1·0
Reduction in chronic illnesses (%) −4·0% −6·5% −1·6% −1·1%
Acute illnesses (thousands) −3·3 −3·2 −0·2 0·1
Reduction in acute illnesses (%) −2·1% −3·5% −0·7% 0·3%
Hospital admissions (thousands) −29·9 −25·7 −2·1 −2·1
Reduction in hospital admissions (%) −3·9% −6·2% −1·6% −1·0%
QALYs (thousands) −33·3 −29·0 −2·5 −1·8
Reduction in QALYs (%) −3·6% −5·2% −1·6% −0·8%
Share of reduction in deaths (%) 100·0% 81·8% 8·3% 9·9%
Share of reduction in chronic illnesses (%) 100·0% 84·8% 7·2% 8·0%
Share of reduction in acute illnesses (%) 100·0% 96·9% 6·1% −3·0%
Share of reduction in hospital admissions (%) 100·0% 86·0% 7·0% 7·0%
Share of reduction in total QALYs saved (%) 100·0% 87·1% 7·5% 5·4%
Cumulative discounted cost changes: years 1–10
Health-care costs (millions) −£561 −£494 −£40 −£27
Reduction in health-care costs (%) −3·1% −4·7% −1·3% −0·6%
QALY value (millions) −£1996 −£1737 −£150 −£108
QALY value (%) −3·6% −5·2% −1·6% −0·8%
Total cost savings (millions) −£2557 −£2232 −£190 −£135
Total cost savings (%) −3·5% −5·1% −1·5% −0·8%
Share of total costs saved (%) 100·0% 87·3% 7·4% 5·3%

QALY=quality-adjusted life-year.

*

Numbers refer to absolute sample size, percentages refer to the sample size after survey weights have been applied.