Table 4.
Health harm reductions in year 10 with a £0·45 minimum unit price, by socioeconomic group
| Population | Routine or manual | Intermediate | Managerial or professional | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Percentage of overall population* | 10 588 (100%) | 4407 (42%) | 1791 (17%) | 4390 (42%) | |
| Baseline health harms in year 10 | |||||
| Deaths | 9730 | 5550 | 1560 | 2620 | |
| Chronic illnesses (thousands) | 309 | 162·5 | 54·8 | 92·0 | |
| Acute illnesses (thousands) | 156 | 92·0 | 27·3 | 36·7 | |
| Hospital admissions (thousands) | 763 | 413·3 | 133·9 | 215·7 | |
| QALYs (thousands) | 925 | 552·7 | 159·7 | 213·3 | |
| Baseline cumulative discounted costs: years 1–10 | |||||
| Health-care costs (millions) | £18 054 | £10 436 | £3182 | £4436 | |
| QALY value (millions) | £55 490 | £33 164 | £9585 | £12 741 | |
| Total costs (millions) | £73 544 | £43 601 | £12 766 | £17 177 | |
| Annual changes in year 10 | |||||
| Deaths | −860 | −710 | −70 | −90 | |
| Reduction in deaths (%) | −8·9% | −12·7% | −4·6% | −3·3% | |
| Chronic illnesses (thousands) | −12·4 | −10·5 | −0·9 | −1·0 | |
| Reduction in chronic illnesses (%) | −4·0% | −6·5% | −1·6% | −1·1% | |
| Acute illnesses (thousands) | −3·3 | −3·2 | −0·2 | 0·1 | |
| Reduction in acute illnesses (%) | −2·1% | −3·5% | −0·7% | 0·3% | |
| Hospital admissions (thousands) | −29·9 | −25·7 | −2·1 | −2·1 | |
| Reduction in hospital admissions (%) | −3·9% | −6·2% | −1·6% | −1·0% | |
| QALYs (thousands) | −33·3 | −29·0 | −2·5 | −1·8 | |
| Reduction in QALYs (%) | −3·6% | −5·2% | −1·6% | −0·8% | |
| Share of reduction in deaths (%) | 100·0% | 81·8% | 8·3% | 9·9% | |
| Share of reduction in chronic illnesses (%) | 100·0% | 84·8% | 7·2% | 8·0% | |
| Share of reduction in acute illnesses (%) | 100·0% | 96·9% | 6·1% | −3·0% | |
| Share of reduction in hospital admissions (%) | 100·0% | 86·0% | 7·0% | 7·0% | |
| Share of reduction in total QALYs saved (%) | 100·0% | 87·1% | 7·5% | 5·4% | |
| Cumulative discounted cost changes: years 1–10 | |||||
| Health-care costs (millions) | −£561 | −£494 | −£40 | −£27 | |
| Reduction in health-care costs (%) | −3·1% | −4·7% | −1·3% | −0·6% | |
| QALY value (millions) | −£1996 | −£1737 | −£150 | −£108 | |
| QALY value (%) | −3·6% | −5·2% | −1·6% | −0·8% | |
| Total cost savings (millions) | −£2557 | −£2232 | −£190 | −£135 | |
| Total cost savings (%) | −3·5% | −5·1% | −1·5% | −0·8% | |
| Share of total costs saved (%) | 100·0% | 87·3% | 7·4% | 5·3% | |
QALY=quality-adjusted life-year.
Numbers refer to absolute sample size, percentages refer to the sample size after survey weights have been applied.