Table 6. Compensation potential, defined as the maximally achievable increase in predicted probability of species presence ΔP(pres) under altered climate conditions, which could be obtained when modifying the respective variable from its recorded minimum (Min) towards the species’ optimum (Opt).
Variable (unit) | Min ->Opt. | CC | HG | TTW | PO |
ΔP(pres) | ΔP(pres) | ΔP(pres) | ΔP(pres) | ||
0 ->100 | |||||
CHEIGHT4 (%) | (0 ->70<-100)* | 0.22 (0.08–0.43) | 0.30 (0.12–0.47) | 0.09 (0.02–0.28) | |
GAPINDEX (n) | 0 ->28 | 0.62 (0.28–0.82) | |||
ED134 (m/ha) | 0 ->700 | 0.72 (0.33–0.93) | |||
GVCOV (%) | 0 ->100 | 0.02 (0.00–0.05) | |||
SPR (%) | 0 ->70<-100 | 0.37 (0.25–0.50) | |||
PIN (%) | 0 ->100 | 0.35 (0.11–0.46) | |||
RESTREE (%) | 0 ->100 | 0.48 (0.10–0.68) | 0.29 (0.04–0.43) | ||
HERB (%) | 0 ->100 | 0.31 (0.09–0.52) | |||
VAC (%) | 0 ->100 | 0.27 (0.06–0.50) | 0.61 (0.36–0.71) | ||
BBTREE (n) | 0 ->18 | 0.44 (0.04–0.66) | 0.29 (0.03–0.78) | ||
STANDDEAD (n) | 0 ->42 | 0.40 (0.12–0.49) | |||
HSTUMP (n) | 16 ->0 | 0.19 (0.10–0.20) | 0.41 (0.15–0.50) |
Mean and 95% confidence interval are provided. The two variables that were modified in concert to show their combined compensation potential (Figure 4) are highlighted in bold. (CC: capercaillie, HG: hazel grouse, TTW: three-toed woodpecker, PO: pygmy owl).
*for capercaillie.