Table 5.
Parameter estimates obtained from Bayesian spatial-temporal models on neonates, infants and older children survival in the Rufiji DSS
| |
Neonates (0–28 days) |
Infants (1–11 months) |
Children (12–59 months) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | HR (95% BCI) | HR (95% BCI) | HR (95% BCI) |
|
Covariates |
|
|
|
| Age |
0.79 (0.77, 0.82)
†
|
0.92 (0.88, 0.96)
‡
|
0.97 (0.96, 0.98)
‡
|
| ITN use |
0.65 (0.39, 1.05) |
0.72 (0.48, 1.07) |
0.88 (0.62, 1.23) |
| EIR (natural log) |
1.15 (0.95, 1.36) |
1.13 (0.98, 1.25) |
1.04 (0.89, 1.18) |
|
Other parameters |
|
|
|
| Spatial range (in km) |
56.32 (16.12, 82.15) |
55.81 (17.2, 82.08) |
54.62 (15.68, 82.06) |
| Spatial variance |
0.28 (0.13, 0.74) |
0.29 (0.13, 0.80) |
0.30 (0.13, 0.83) |
| Temporal variance |
0.22 (0.11, 0.57) |
0.23 (0.11, 0.52) |
0.26 (0.12, 0.70) |
| Non-spatial variance |
0.22 (0.11, 0.46) |
0.21 (0.11, 0.46) |
0.20 (0.10, 0.44) |
| Autocorrelation | 0.32 (−0.67, 0.98) | 0.45 (−0.51, 0.94) | 0.99 (−0.09, 1.00) |
†Age in days; ‡Age in months.