Table 2.
Goodness of fit for age-period-cohort models to upper gastrointestinal tract cancer mortality, Spain 1952-2006
|
Model |
Oral cavity & pharynx |
Oesophagus |
Stomach |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Men | D.f. | Deviance | D.f. | Deviance | D.f. | Deviance |
| Age |
110 |
7185.8 |
110 |
3052.2 |
130 |
19676.3 |
| Age + drift |
109 |
3296.2 |
109 |
2396.6 |
129 |
1923.0 |
| Age + period |
100 |
2145.2 |
100 |
1080.9 |
120 |
571.4 |
| Age + cohort |
90 |
2404.7 |
90 |
2087.0 |
108 |
850.4 |
| Age + period + cohort |
81 |
200.6 |
81 |
143.0 |
99 |
136.8 |
|
Annual net-drift* |
|
2.01% |
|
0.72% |
|
-2.70% |
|
Women |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Age |
110 |
492.8 |
110 |
1805.0 |
130 |
21345.9 |
| Age + drift |
109 |
312.3 |
109 |
860.2 |
129 |
2048.3 |
| Age + period |
100 |
287.8 |
100 |
319.5 |
120 |
1077.6 |
| Age + cohort |
90 |
164.6 |
90 |
397.8 |
108 |
611.1 |
| Age + period + cohort |
81 |
115.1 |
81 |
123.6 |
99 |
152.4 |
| Annual net-drift* | 1.04% | -1.89% | -3.50% | |||
D.f. – Degrees of freedom.
*Overall annual percent change in age-adjusted mortality rates obtained from the sum of period and cohort linear slopes from the three-factor model.