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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 May 21.
Published in final edited form as: Risk Anal. 2013 May 29;33(11):1969–1986. doi: 10.1111/risa.12073

Table VII.

Comparison of Baseline Economic Results and Impacted Results: Full Year Loss of Major Bridge Asset

Region and Metric 2010 2012 2020 Difference Between
Baseline and Impacted,
2010–2020
Baseline
New Jersey
  Nonagricultural employment (000) 3,854.1 3,923.7 4,181.3
  Real gross domestic product (2005 = 100,$bill) 438.7 459.6 560.3
New York region
  Nonagricultural employment (000) 5,169.5 5,265.7 5,951.7
  Real gross domestic product (2005 = 100,$bill) 778.9 816.8 942.7
Impacted, Limited Resilence, 2-Hour Delay per Day
New Jersey
  Nonagricultural employment (000) 3,854.1 3,899.0 4,175.6 −5.7
  Real gross domestic product (2005 = 100,$bill) 438.7 459.2 558.9 −1.4
New York
  Nonagricultural employment (000) 5,169.5 5,257.0 5,947.7 −4.0
  Real gross domestic product (2005 = 100,$bill) 778.9 815.8 941.7 −1.0
Impacted, Resilience, 1-Hour Delay per Day
New Jersey
  Nonagricultural employment (000) 3,854.1 3,910.7 4,179.4 −1.9
  Real gross domestic product (2005 = 100,$bill) 438.7 459.2 559.1 −1.2
New York
  Nonagricultural employment (000) 5,169.5 5,261.3 5,948.5 −3.2
  Real gross domestic product (2005 = 100,$bill) 778.9 816.2 941.9 −0.8
Impacted, Resilience, 1-Hour Delay (40%), Shift to Auto and Bus (40%), and Shift to Telecommute (20%)
New Jersey
  Nonagricultural employment (000) 3,854.1 3,903.7 4,177.1 −6.2
  Real gross domestic product (2005 = 100,$bill) 438.7 459.2 559.0 −1.3
New York
  Nonagricultural employment (000) 5,169.5 5,258.7 5,948.0 −3.7
  Real gross domestic product (2005 = 100,$bill) 778.9 816.0 941.8 −0.9
Impacted, 2-Hour Delay, and Partial Replacement of Job Losses
New Jersey
  Nonagricultural employment (000) 3,854.1 3,899.0 4,151.7 −29.6
  Real gross domestic product (2005 = 100,$bill) 438.7 459.2 558.6 −1.7
New York
  Nonagricultural employment (000) 5,169.5 5,257.0 5,940.6 −11.1
  Real gross domestic product (2005 = 100,$bill) 778.9 815.8 940.8 −1.9