Skip to main content
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2015 Apr 1.
Published in final edited form as: Demography. 2014 Apr;51(2):699–726. doi: 10.1007/s13524-014-0280-2

Table 7.

Components of change, alternative estimates of net migration, and coverage error, Mexican-born males, 2005 (estimates in 1,000s)

Age Components of Change, U.S. Data
Net Migrants Based on Mexican Data,a NMX E[P] = P05,NI + NMX, if Coverage Error for Pre-2000 Arrivals Is:
r Coverage Error, if Coverage Error for Pre-2000 Arrivals Is:
2000 Population P00 Projected to 2005 P05,NI Net Migrants NUS 2005 Population P05 = P05,NI + NUS
10 % DR Low Rateb DR High Ratec 10 % DR Low Rateb DR High Ratec
0–14 483 242 210 452 425 711 736 793 36 39 43
15–24 1,129 630 441 1,071 1,045 1,701 1,716 1,748 37 38 39
25–44 2,565 2,798 457 3,255 493 3,628 3,831 4,270 10 15 24
45–64 744 1,112 −2 1,110 10 1,211 1,264 1,379 8 12 19
a

Assumes 2 % coverage error in Mexican censuses, all years.

b

Death registration lower-bound coverage error estimates (males: 22 % in 1995, 16 % in 2000, 9 % in 2005; females: 9 % in 1995, 6 % in 2000, 3 % in 2005).

c

Death registration upper-bound coverage error estimates (males: 34 % in 1995, 29 % in 2000, 24 % in 2005; females: 29 % in 1995, 27 % in 2000, 24 % in 2005).