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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2015 Apr 8.
Published in final edited form as: J Am Coll Cardiol. 2014 Feb 5;63(13):1264–1274. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2013.11.052

Table 3.

Predictors of negative downstream tests and no events

Univariate predictors (CI) P-value Multivariable model 1 Multivariable model 2
Fit statistic P-value Fit statistic P-value
Likelihood ratio χ2 61.49 <0.001 80.67 0.002*
ROC 0.7149 0.7451 0.018*
AIC 560.26 551.07
Odds Ratio (CI) Odds Ratio (CI)
Age (per 10 years) 0.67 (0.56 – 0.78) <0.001 0.65 (0.54 – 0.78) <0.001 0.72 (0.60 – 0.88) 0.001
Female gender 2.69 (1.81 – 4.01) <0.001 2.89 (1.89 – 4.44) <0.001 3.17 (2.00 – 5.01) <0.001
≤ 1 risk factors 1.00 reference 1.00 reference 1.00 reference
≥ 2 risk factors 0.66 (0.42 – 1.01) 0.0564 0.59 (0.37 – 0.95) 0.030 0.65 (0.40 – 1.06) 0.087
Presenting symptoms
None 1.00 reference 1.00 reference 1.00 reference
Non-anginal chest pain 1.16 (0.74 – 1.81) 0.527 0.83 (0.51 – 1.35) 0.442 0.89 (0.54 – 1.48) 0.656
Atypical angina 0.65 (0.33 – 1.28) 0.216 0.52 (0.25 – 1.07) 0.079 0.62 (0.29 – 1.31) 0.209
Typical angina 0.53 (0.29 – 0.94) 0.029 0.40 (0.21 – 0.76) 0.005 0.50 (0.25 – 1.01) 0.052
ETT results
METs achieved (per METs) 1.08 (1.03 – 1.15) 0.005 1.09 (1.01–1.17) 0.037
Negative ETT 1.00 reference 1.00 reference
Typical Angina, -ECG 0.73 (0.35 – 1.52) 0.401 0.95 (0.40 – 2.26) 0.911
Rapid Recovery of ECG changes 3.64 (1.62 – 8.19) 0.002 2.67 (1.15 – 6.22) 0.013
Inconclusive for other reasons 1.06 (0.62 – 1.81) 0.832 1.32 (0.71 – 2.45) 0.380
Positive ETT 0.59 (0.33 – 1.06) 0.076 0.64 (0.34 – 1.21) 0.173
*

Comparing models 1 and 2;

Risk factors included hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, current smoking, family history of premature CAD.

CI = confidence intervals