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. 2014 May 5;111(20):7492–7497. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1405557111

Table 1.

Description of alternative reference and policy scenarios

Scenario Description Targeted services
Alternative reference scenarios
1990s trend Continuation of land-use change trends from 1992 to 1997 Not applicable
High crop demand Land-use changes accounting for 10% increase in crop prices every five years relative to the 1990s Trend scenario Not applicable
Alternative policy scenarios
Forest incentives $100/acre payment per year for land converted to forest; $100/acre tax per year for land taken out of forest Timber production, carbon storage, habitat
Natural habitats $100/acre tax per year on land converted from forest or range to crop land, pasture, or urban Habitat
Urban containment Prohibition on land conversion to urban in nonmetropolitan counties. Habitat, timber production, carbon storage, food production