Table 4.

Proportion of Men Who Would Receive Lateral Spine Imaging & Proportion With Prevalent Radiographic Vertebral Fracture (PVFx) Detected^%

	Screening Pre-Test Probability Cutpoint**	Percent Screened^	Percent of Men with PVFx Detected	Prevalence PVFx Among Those Screened
Model 1#	5%	68.1%	81.1%	8.7%
	10%	18.6%	34.5%	13.6%
	15%	4.9%	11.3%	16.9%
Model 2&	5%	63.5%	81.9%	9.4%
	10%	18.2%	38.7%	15.5%
	15%	6.4%	15.1%	17.3%
Model 3##	5%	60.5%	81.4%	9.7%
	10%	18.6%	39.8%	15.5%
	15%	6.6%	16.0%	17.5%
Model 4&&	5%	60.5%	81.2%	9.7%
	10%	19.1%	42.0%	15.9%
	15%	7.1%	18.8%	19.1%

^*Prediction model used to determine who has lateral spine imaging to look for prevalent vertebral fracture

^**Pre-test probability of PVFx cutpoint at and above which lateral spine imaging would be done

^{^}Proportion above the cutpoint according to the prediction model who would have spine imaging

^#Model 1: Age and Femoral Neck BMD

^&Model 2: Age, Femoral Neck BMD, and historical height loss

^##Model 3: Age, Femoral Neck BMD, historical height loss, prior non-vertebral fracture, body mass index, presence of and limitations from back pain, and grip strength

^&&Model 4: Age, Femoral Neck BMD, historical height loss, prior non-vertebral fracture, body mass index, presence of and limitations from back pain, grip strength, smoking, and glucocorticoid use

^%Analyses limited to men with did not self-report prior spine fracture at the baseline visit and with femoral neck BMD T-score ≤ −1.0