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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 May 28.
Published in final edited form as: Tob Control. 2013 May 22;23(0 1):i54–i60. doi: 10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2012-050922

Table 4.

Average marginal price effects on switching tiers

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Panel A. Net effects
    Median Tier-1 price –0.890 (0.012) 0.640 (0.010) 0.200 (0.003) 0.070 (0.001)
    Median Tier-2 price 0.622 (0.010) –1.943 (0.009) 0.857 (0.008) 0.426 (0.006)
    Median Tier-3 price 0.198 (0.003) 0.866 (0.008) –1.515 (0.013) 0.450 (0.010)
    Median Tier-4 price 0.071 (0.001) 0.437 (0.006) 0.458 (0.010) –0.946 (0.011)
    Number of person-year observations 8552 8552 8552 8552
    Share of observations in Tier k 12.64% 44.68% 28.70% 13.99%
    % change in share choosing Tier k, implied by net own-price effect –7.04% –4.35% –5.28% –6.76%
Panel B. Gross effects
    Median Tier-1 price –4.050 (0.056) 0.169 (0.004) 0.154 (0.005)
    Median Tier-2 price 2.775 (0.048) –0.552 (0.006) 0.672 (0.016)
    Median Tier-3 price 0.800 (0.028) 0.265 (0.004) –1.676 (0.019)
    Median Tier-4 price 0.474 (0.020) 0.118 (0.003) 0.850 (0.015)
    Number of person-year observations 1236 4206 2522
    Share of observations starting in Tier k 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
    % change in share choosing Tier k, implied by gross own-price effect –4.05% –0.55% –1.68%

Average marginal price effects, reported as percentage points, are calculated from the conditional logit regression in Table 3. For each Tier k=(1, 2, 3, 4), bolded numbers denote the effect of median Tier-k price on the probability of choosing that same Tier k (ie, the own-price effect), and unbolded numbers indicate the cross-effect of median Tier-k price on the probability of choosing Tier j ≠ k (ie, the cross-price effect). Standard errors bootstrapped with 1000 repetitions are in parentheses. Net effects in Panel A, calculated on the full sample, capture the combination of movement into and out of a tier. Gross effects in Panel B, calculated for those starting in each given tier, capture movement out of a tier. The regression for the Tier-4 gross effects failed to converge due to a small sample.