Table 3.
Results of attempts to replicate ages of proposed YDB layers for sites in Fig. 1, group 3a
Site | Age of YDB originally reported | Predicted age of proposed YDB layer, unweighted | Age difference (column 3 minus column 2) | Predicted age of proposed YDB layer, weighted | Age difference (column 5 minus column 2) |
Abu Hureyra* | 12,900 | 13,082 | 182 | 13,044 | 144 |
12,658 | −242 | 12,763 | −137 | ||
Arlington Canyon | 12,800 | 13,106 | 306 | 13,108 | 308 |
Barber Creek | 12,800 | 12,100 | −700 | 12,100 | −700 |
Blackville | 12,800 | 12,960 | 160 | 12,960 | 160 |
Blackwater Draw | 12,900 | 12,860 | −40 | 12,866 | −34 |
Kimbel Bay | 12,800 | 18,106 | 5,306 | 12,094 | −706 |
Lake Cuitzeo | 12,900 | 19,725 | 6,825 | 15,916 | 3,016 |
Melrose† | 12,900 | 12,300 | −600 | – | – |
Murray Springs | 12,900 | 12,847 | −53 | 12,809 | −91 |
Talega | 12,800 | 13,030 | 230 | 13,030 | 230 |
Topper | 12,800 | 11,773 | −1,027 | 11,098 | −1,702 |
Ages given for Abu Hureyra are for the reported 284.29 m and 284.70 m depths of the supposed YDB layer.
A weighted model is not possible for Melrose because one of the data points is the ground surface, not a date with an error term.