Table 3. ROC-analysis for the performances of inflammatory cytokine levels and CRP to rule out the possibility of sepsis and intracranial infection.
diagnostic indicators | AUC | SE a | 95% CI b | Youden index J | Associated criterion (pg/mL) | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | z statistic | Significance level |
Derivation cohort (n = 342) | |||||||||
IL-2 | 0.901 | 0.0208 | 0.866 to 0.930 | 0.6912 | >4.0 | 90.9 | 78.2 | 1.903 | 0.0570* |
IL-4 | 0.522 | 0.0437 | 0.470 to 0.574 | 0.1477 | ≤2.9 | 69.7 | 45.1 | 6.818 | <0.0001* |
IL-6 | 0.860 | 0.0203 | 0.821 to 0.894 | 0.7104 | ≤8.5 | 100.0 | 71.0 | 0.504 | 0.6144* |
IL-10 | 0.888 | 0.0296 | 0.851 to 0.918 | 0.7001 | ≤3.6 | 90.9 | 79.1 | 1.128 | 0.2595* |
TNF-α | 0.604 | 0.0346 | 0.552 to 0.654 | 0.3454 | ≤2.7 | 93.9 | 40.6 | 6.139 | <0.0001* |
INF-γ | 0.706 | 0.0264 | 0.656 to 0.752 | 0.5334 | ≤6.3 | 93.9 | 59.4 | 4.466 | <0.0001* |
CRP | 0.848 | 0.0221 | 0.807 to 0.883 | 0.6548 | ≤4.0 | 100.0 | 65.5 | ||
Validation cohort (n = 90) | |||||||||
IL-2 | 0.890 | 0.0300 | 0.820 to 0.939 | >4.0 | 90.9 | 75.6 | 1.661 | 0.0968* | |
IL-4 | 0.578 | 0.0525 | 0.485 to 0.666 | ≤2.9 | 69.7 | 55.6 | 3.768 | 0.0002* | |
IL-6 | 0.902 | 0.0264 | 0.835 to 0.948 | ≤8.5 | 100.0 | 73.3 | 2.571 | 0.0101* | |
IL-10 | 0.863 | 0.0358 | 0.789 to 0.918 | ≤3.6 | 90.9 | 77.8 | 1.077 | 0.2817* | |
TNF-α | 0.708 | 0.0457 | 0.620 to 0.787 | ≤2.7 | 93.9 | 53.3 | 1.589 | 0.1121* | |
INF-γ | 0.693 | 0.0455 | 0.604 to 0.773 | ≤6.3 | 93.9 | 56.6 | 2.006 | 0.0448* | |
CRP | 0.807 | 0.0368 | 0.726 to 0.873 | ≤4.0 | 100.0 | 70.1 |
DeLong et al., 1988.
Binomial exact.
*compared with CRP.