Table 10.
This study (Land et al. 2010)
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Preliminary study (DCEG 2004)
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Baseline number of cancersa | Projected excess number of cancers 1948–2008 | Projected excess number of cancers from 2009 onwards | Rounded total number of cancers | |||
Cancer type | Baseline number of cancersa | Excess number of cancers | Total number of cancers | ||||
Leukemia | 123 | 5 | 128 | 140 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 147 |
Thyroid | 127 | 262 | 389 | 190 | 35 | 15 | 240 |
Stomach | 326 | 15 | 341 | 570 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 577 |
Colon | 470 | 157 | 627 | 930 | 7.2 | 9.3 | 946 |
All other solid cancers | 4,550 | 93 | 4,643 | 8,800 | 54 | 36 | 8,890 |
Rounded total number of cancers | 5,600 | 530 | 6,100 | 10,600 | 105 | 65 | 10,800 |
The 2004 preliminary analysis assumed the population size obtained by the 1958 census, while the present study is based upon the total number of people exposed anytime between 1948 and 1970, which is projected to be about twice the size of the 1958 population.