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. 2014 Jun 4;9(6):e98840. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0098840

Table 4. Results for population size estimation with fully independent data.

Sample period 1985_11 1986_01 1986_03 1986_11 1987_01
Reference 183 165 155 106 74
f1 48 38 35 33 21
f2 15 23 19 26 14
f3 4 13 18 9 8
f4 1 3 15 2 5
f5 0 1 5 0 3
f6 0 2 3 0 0
f7 0 0 1 0 0
f8 0 0 0 0 0
S 68 80 96 70 51
ptr 0.092 0.122 0.171 0.259 0.451
CV 0.50 0.52 0.55 0.21 0.57
LP 128.23 (82.01–174.45) 98.75 (83.99–113.51) 108.77 (98.18–119.36) 91.75 (74.14–109.36) 56.11 (49.8962.33)
MLP 144.91 (117.64–172.21) 114.03 (105.64–122.42) 131.52 (125.30–137.73) 113.09 (102.67–123.50) 75.25 (70.47–80.03)
MPE 131.19 (94.46–167.93) 103.27 (89.96–116.58) 114.35 (106.47–122.23) 121.22 (86.78–155.66) 72.00 (64.89–79.12)
MARK Appropriate 115 (93–156) 114 (96–151) 123 (110–150) 89 (80–107) 69 (59–96)
MARK Mh IntJK 155 (124–205) 120 (102–155) 138 (118–178) 97 (85–121) 68 (59–90)
MARK Mh ME 145 (104–232) 111 (95–149) 128 (111–170) 91 (79–119) 67 (57–95)
CARE Mh SC1 163.0 (117.15–255.15) 120.2 (99.81–152.76) 125.2 (112.21–145.04) 98.6 (86.09–122.96) 71.9 (60.47–92.32)
CARE Mh SC2 131.8 (98.94–204.51) 110.3 (93.63–137.48) 119.8 (107.22–137.58) 86.2 (76.85–103.10) 64.2 (54.41–82.27)
CARE Mh EE 145 (107.46–215.22) 113 (96.94–138.09) 116.2 (106.06–130.99) 91.9 (81.79–107.69) 67.2 (57.92–82.05)
Tr. Geometric Distribution 246 (182–347) 168 (143–200) 150 (137–165) 164 (135–204) 83 (73–96)
Finite Mixtures 117.51 (94.2–161.58) 96.06 (88.06–111.98) 101.43 (98.07–110.24) 88.83 (79.38–107.82) 55.12 (52.29–64.19)
CARE/GSRUN 116.47 (93.68–159.49) 106.88 (90.16–151.15) 109.05 (100.11–137.45) 89.81 (80.08–108.93) 55.33 (52.47–63.74)

fk: number of individuals captured k times. S: number of distinct individuals captured. ptr: daily threshold capture probability for which 95% of individuals are expected to be included in the reference population. CV: coefficient of variation (degree of heterogeneity). LP: Lincoln-Petersen; MLP: Multiple Lincoln-Petersen; MPE: Mean Petersen estimate; IntJK: Interpolated jackknife; ME: Moment estimator; SC1: Sample coverage 1; SC2: Sample coverage 2; EE: Estimating equation.

The 95%-confidence interval is shown in brackets. Estimations that cover the reference population size are highlighted in bold.

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