Disease progression	Reported progression rates, % (uncertainty interval)	Reference(s)
Diuretic-sensitive ascites to diuretic refractory ascites	6.7 (4.0–9.4)	8,20–27
Diuretic-sensitive ascites to liver-related death	11.0 (7.7–14.3)	8,20–27
Variceal hemorrhage to liver-related death (first year)	40.0 (33.4–46.6)	8,20–27
Variceal hemorrhage to liver-related death (subsequent years)	13.0 (8.5–17.5)	8,20–27
Hepatic encephalopathy to liver-related death (first year)	68.0 (65.9–70.1)	8,20–27
Hepatic encephalopathy to liver-related death (subsequent years)	40.0 (37.8–42.2)	8,20–27
Diuretic-refractory ascites to liver-related death	33.0 (28.0–38.0)	8,20–27
Hepatocellular carcinoma to liver-related death (first year)	70.7 (43–77.0)	26,58
Hepatocellular carcinoma to liver-related death (subsequent years)	16.2 (11–23.0)	58
Liver transplant to liver-related death (first year)	33.1–10.7 (2.8–0.4)	30,31
Liver transplant to liver-related death (subsequent years)	3.9–4.8 (7.6–1.0)	30,31