Table 3.

Expected number of secondary cases for different disclosure choices (Scenario 8, Table 2, with μ₀ − 1 = 1). The rows indicate the persons disclosed by Alice and Charlie; the columns indicate who Bob discloses. The cell entries indicate the expected number of secondary cases within the group, obtained by integrating (6).

	Charlie discloses	Bob discloses	Bob discloses	Bob discloses	Bob discloses
		Neither	Alice only	Charlie only	Both
Alice discloses neither	Neither	1	0.998	0.835	0.835
	Alice only	0.998	0.997	0.834	0.834
	Bob only	0.835	0.834	0.671	0.671
	Both	0.835	0.834	0.671	0.671
Alice discloses Bob only	Neither	0.508	0.506	0.158	0.158
	Alice only	0.506	0.505	0.157	0.157
	Bob only	0.506	0.505	0.157	0.157
	Both	0.506	0.505	0.157	0.156
Alice discloses Charlie only	Neither	0.508	0.506	0.506	0.506
	Alice only	0.506	0.505	0.505	0.505
	Bob only	0.158	0.157	0.157	0.157
	Both	0.158	0.157	0.157	0.156
Alice discloses both	Neither	0.156	0.155	0.154	0.154
	Alice only	0.155	0.153	0.152	0.152
	Bob only	0.154	0.152	0.152	0.151
	Both	0.154	0.152	0.151	0.151