Table 4. Parameter estimates for the discrete-time Markov models of fox presence at a sambar deer carcass during a 24-h period.
Previous State | Season | Variable | Estimate | ||
Median | 2.75% | 97.5% | |||
Foxes not present | Either | Dog present previous day | 0.869 | 0.270 | 1.501 |
Spring | Intercept | −3.321 | −4.615 | −1.929 | |
Distance to farm | −0.295 | −0.653 | 0.097 | ||
Distance to farm2 | 0.235 | −0.093 | 0.561 | ||
Edible biomass available | 0.041 | −0.218 | 0.299 | ||
Edible biomass available2 | −0.363 | −0.780 | 0.008 | ||
Winter | Intercept | −3.271 | −4.625 | −2.069 | |
Distance to farm | 0.180 | −0.209 | 0.561 | ||
Distance to farm2 | 0.181 | −0.151 | 0.514 | ||
Edible biomass available | −0.093 | −0.365 | 0.222 | ||
Edible biomass available2 | −0.015 | −0.404 | 0.361 | ||
Foxes present | Either | Dog present previous day | −0.061 | −1.014 | 0.952 |
Spring | Intercept | −3.526 | −5.359 | −1.736 | |
Distance to farm | −0.869 | −1.596 | −0.239 | ||
Distance to farm2 | 0.352 | −0.121 | 0.838 | ||
Edible biomass available | 0.937 | 0.444 | 1.447 | ||
Edible biomass available2 | 0.449 | −0.298 | 1.135 | ||
Winter | Intercept | −1.173 | −2.650 | 0.316 | |
Distance to farm | 0.257 | −0.177 | 0.725 | ||
Distance to farm2 | 0.126 | −0.279 | 0.537 | ||
Edible biomass available | −0.735 | −1.237 | −0.283 | ||
Edible biomass available2 | −0.506 | −1.206 | 0.144 | ||
Transect variance | 0.372 | 0.000 | 2.569 | ||
Carcass variance | 0.856 | 0.338 | 1.843 |
The superscripts in ‘Distance to farm2’ and ‘Edible biomass available2’ are quadratic terms.