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. 2014 Jun 12;10(6):e1003650. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003650

Figure 1. Outline of the proposed experimental design framework.

Figure 1

a) We will be concerned with state-space formulations, which model a true state, Inline graphic, as it evolves under the parametric function Inline graphic subject to a process noise, Inline graphic, and observations made of this process, Inline graphic, via the 'observation' function, Inline graphic, with measurement noise Inline graphic. b) Plots of simulations from two different models (blue and red) for various parameter values, under the same experimental conditions. At time Inline graphic, the behaviour of the two models is very similar, while at time Inline graphic, the trajectories separate. c) Gaussian approximations of the model simulations at times Inline graphic and Inline graphic (in general these will be mixtures of Gaussians) obtained via the unscented transform. Time Inline graphic is likely to be more informative than time point Inline graphic for model selection purposes. Experiments can be scored by how separated these distributions are, which we quantify using the Hellinger distance.