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. 2014 Jun 12;10(6):e1003650. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003650

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© 2014 Silk et al

This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are properly credited.

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The heat maps on the left show the Hellinger distances between the prior predictive distributions of model pairs, for the chosen experiments. Bar plots on the right give the posterior probabilities of each model with respect to data produced by the chosen experiment. After the first experiment, models and have the most support, but evidence to choose between them is negligible. However a second experiment designed for only these two models (with priors set according to the posterior probability proportions after the first round of model selection) strongly favours model .

Inline graphic — The heat maps on the left show the Hellinger distances between the prior predictive distributions of model pairs, for the chosen experiments. Bar plots on the right give the posterior probabilities of each model with respect to data produced by the chosen experiment. After the first experiment, models and have the most support, but evidence to choose between them is negligible. However a second experiment designed for only these two models (with priors set according to the posterior probability proportions after the first round of model selection) strongly favours model .