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. 2014 Jun 13;14:77. doi: 10.1186/1471-2261-14-77

Table 1.

Model input parameters

Parameter Deterministic values (min – max range) Distribution Source
Costs & event occurrence
 
 
 
Cost of conventional cTnT test
€17.11(12.8-21.4)
Beta PERT
Commercial price at MUMC
Cost of new hsTnT test
€31.5 (23.6-39.4)
Beta PERT
Time & motion study*
Cost of AMI in 1st year
€ 12446 ( 9334–15557)
GAMMA
[21]
Cost of AMI in subsequent year
€ 2092 (1569–2615)
GAMMA
[21]
Utility score for AMI
0.725 (0.544-0.906)
BETA
[19]
Discount rate: cost
0.4
Fixed
[23]
Discount rate: Effect
0.15
Fixed
[23]
Prevalence of AMI among patients presenting with chest pain
0.30 (0.23 -0.38)
Beta PERT
[5]
Risk adjusted mortality ratio among inappropriately discharged AMI patients
1.9 (1.43 -2.38)
Beta PERT
[20]
Life expectancy of AMI survivor (years)
8.3 (6.23-10.38)
Beta PERT
[16]
Diagnostic accuracy
 
 
[17]
cTnT sensitivity at ≤6 hours
0.44 (0.32-0.56)
BETA
cTnT sensitivity at ≤12 hours
0.93 (0.85-0.97)
BETA
cTnT specificity at ≤6 hours
0.92 (0.88-0.95)
BETA
cTnT specificity at ≤12 hours
0.85 (0.76-0.91)
BETA
hsTnT sensitivity at ≤6 hours
0.94 (0.87-0.98)
BETA
hsTnT sensitivity at ≤12 hours
0.95 (0.91-0.98)
BETA
hsTnT specificity at ≤6 hours
0.52 (0.39-0.65)
BETA
hsTnT specificity at ≤12 hours
0.51 (0.40-0.62)
BETA
hsTnT + hFABP sensitivity at ≤6 hours
0.97 (0.90-0.99)
BETA
hsTnT + hFABP sensitivity at ≤12 hours
0.97 (0.93-0.99)
BETA
hsTnT + hFABP specificity at ≤ 6 hours
0.39 (0.27-0.51)
BETA
hsTnT + hFABP specificity at ≤ 12 hours
0.38 (0.27-0.49)
BETA
Event occurrence
 
 
Average of AMI mortality among patients given PPCI within 4 hours of presentation
0.062 (0.0468-0.0780)
Beta PERT
Calculated from [3]
AMI mortality among patients given PPCI after 4 hours of presentation
0.103 (0.077-0.1288)
Beta PERT
[3]
PPCI procedure related mortality 0.0072 (0.0054-0.009) Beta PERT [18]

*Time & Motion study done at Pathology Laboratory, MUMC.