Table 1.
Parameter | Deterministic values (min – max range) | Distribution | Source |
---|---|---|---|
Costs & event occurrence |
|
|
|
Cost of conventional cTnT test |
€17.11(12.8-21.4) |
Beta PERT |
Commercial price at MUMC |
Cost of new hsTnT test |
€31.5 (23.6-39.4) |
Beta PERT |
Time & motion study* |
Cost of AMI in 1st year |
€ 12446 ( 9334–15557) |
GAMMA |
[21] |
Cost of AMI in subsequent year |
€ 2092 (1569–2615) |
GAMMA |
[21] |
Utility score for AMI |
0.725 (0.544-0.906) |
BETA |
[19] |
Discount rate: cost |
0.4 |
Fixed |
[23] |
Discount rate: Effect |
0.15 |
Fixed |
[23] |
Prevalence of AMI among patients presenting with chest pain |
0.30 (0.23 -0.38) |
Beta PERT |
[5] |
Risk adjusted mortality ratio among inappropriately discharged AMI patients |
1.9 (1.43 -2.38) |
Beta PERT |
[20] |
Life expectancy of AMI survivor (years) |
8.3 (6.23-10.38) |
Beta PERT |
[16] |
Diagnostic accuracy |
|
|
[17] |
cTnT sensitivity at ≤6 hours |
0.44 (0.32-0.56) |
BETA |
|
cTnT sensitivity at ≤12 hours |
0.93 (0.85-0.97) |
BETA |
|
cTnT specificity at ≤6 hours |
0.92 (0.88-0.95) |
BETA |
|
cTnT specificity at ≤12 hours |
0.85 (0.76-0.91) |
BETA |
|
hsTnT sensitivity at ≤6 hours |
0.94 (0.87-0.98) |
BETA |
|
hsTnT sensitivity at ≤12 hours |
0.95 (0.91-0.98) |
BETA |
|
hsTnT specificity at ≤6 hours |
0.52 (0.39-0.65) |
BETA |
|
hsTnT specificity at ≤12 hours |
0.51 (0.40-0.62) |
BETA |
|
hsTnT + hFABP sensitivity at ≤6 hours |
0.97 (0.90-0.99) |
BETA |
|
hsTnT + hFABP sensitivity at ≤12 hours |
0.97 (0.93-0.99) |
BETA |
|
hsTnT + hFABP specificity at ≤ 6 hours |
0.39 (0.27-0.51) |
BETA |
|
hsTnT + hFABP specificity at ≤ 12 hours |
0.38 (0.27-0.49) |
BETA |
|
Event occurrence |
|
|
|
Average of AMI mortality among patients given PPCI within 4 hours of presentation |
0.062 (0.0468-0.0780) |
Beta PERT |
Calculated from [3] |
AMI mortality among patients given PPCI after 4 hours of presentation |
0.103 (0.077-0.1288) |
Beta PERT |
[3] |
PPCI procedure related mortality | 0.0072 (0.0054-0.009) | Beta PERT | [18] |
*Time & Motion study done at Pathology Laboratory, MUMC.