Table 4.
Scenario 1 | 2012 | 2030 scenario 1 | 2030 scenario 1 vs 2012 | 2030 scenario 1 vs 2030 base-case | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prevalence (n) | 1,242,682 | 566,521 | −676,161 | −15,688 | ||||
95% CI (min, max) | 917,150 | 1,568,213 | 402,842 | 730,200 | −514,309 | −838,013 | −9,336 | −22,039 |
Health care cost (€million) | €527.0 | €334.9 | −€192.0 | −€11.1 | ||||
95% CI (min, max) | €388 | €666 | €232 | €438 | −€156 | −€228 | −€7.1 | −€15.0 |
Scenario 2 | 2012 | 2030 scenario 2 | 2030 scenario 2 vs 2012 | 2030 scenario 2 vs 2030 base-case | ||||
| ||||||||
Prevalence (n) | 1,242,682 | 556,323 | −686,358 | −25,885 | ||||
95% CI (min, max) | 917,150 | 1,568,213 | 389,842 | 722,805 | −527,308 | −845,408 | −22,336 | −29,434 |
Health care costs (€million) | €527.0 | €327.6 | −€199.3 | −€18.3 | ||||
95% CI (min, max) | €388 | €666 | €223 | €432 | −€165 | −€234 | −€16.2 | −€20.5 |
Scenario 3 | 2012 | 2030 scenario 3 | 2030 scenario 3 vs 2012 | 2030 scenario 3 vs 2030 base-case | ||||
| ||||||||
Prevalence (n) | 1,242,682 | 520,909 | −721,772 | −61,299 | ||||
95% CI (min, max) | 917,150 | 1,568,213 | 348,154 | 693,665 | −568,996 | −874,548 | −64,024 | −58,574 |
Health care costs (€million) | €527.0 | €302.0 | −€224.9 | −€44.0 | ||||
95% CI (min, max) | €388 | €666 | €194 | €410 | −€194 | −€256 | −€42.2 | −€45.8 |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; n, number of subjects; min, minimum; max, maximum; vs, versus.