Table 2.
Temporal trends in the annual percent change (APC) in age-adjusted papillary thyroid cancer incidence rates between 1988 and 2009 in California, by individual and tumor characteristics.
Trend 1
|
Trend 2
|
Trend 3
|
Trend 4
|
Trend 5
|
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
years | APC | years | APC | years | APC | years | APC | years | APC | |
Men | ||||||||||
All | 1988–1998 | 1.1 (−0.3–2.5) | 1998–2009 | 5.4 (4.5–6.3) | ||||||
Age | ||||||||||
<20 | 1988–2009 | 1.3 (−1.4–4.1) | ||||||||
20–34 | 1988–2009 | 2.6 (1.8–3.4) | ||||||||
35–49 | 1988–1996 | −2.1 (−5.8-1.8) | 1996–2009 | 4.9 (3.4–6.5) | ||||||
50–64 | 1988–2009 | 4.3 (3.6–5.0) | ||||||||
≥65 | 1988–2009 | 4.6 (3.6–5.6) | ||||||||
Race/ethnicity/nativity | ||||||||||
non-Hispanic white | 1988–1995 | −0.4 (−3.2-2.4) | 1995–2009 | 5.4 (4.6–6.3) | ||||||
non-Hispanic black | 1988–2009 | 4.1 (2.3–6.1) | ||||||||
Hispanic | 1988–2009 | 3.9 (2.5–5.2) | ||||||||
US-born | 1988–2004a | 3.3 (0.4–6.2) | ||||||||
foreign-born | 1988–2004a | 2.2 (−1.7–6.3) | ||||||||
Asian/Pacific Islander | 1988–2006 | 1.1 (−0.3–2.5) | 2006–2009 | 16.8 (2.3–33.5) | ||||||
US-bornb | 1988–2004a | 2.9 (−2.4–8.5) | ||||||||
foreign-bornb | 1988–2004a | −0.2 (−2.3-1.9) | ||||||||
Native Americanc | -- | |||||||||
Tumor size | ||||||||||
<1 cm | 1988–2009 | 7.8 (6.9–8.8) | ||||||||
1.0–1.4 cm | 1988–2009 | 5.7 (4.5–7.0) | ||||||||
1.5–1.9 cm | 1988–1993 | −7.1 (−17.2-4.3) | 1993–2009 | 8.1 (6.5–9.8) | ||||||
2.0–2.9 cm | 1988–2009 | 4.0 (3.1–4.9) | ||||||||
3.0–3.9 cm | 1988–2009 | 3.5 (2.2–4.9) | ||||||||
4.0–4.9 cm | 1988–2009 | 3.6 (2.4–4.8) | ||||||||
≥5.0 cm | 1988–2009 | 4.4 (3.3–5.6) | ||||||||
unknown | 1988–1997 | −11.5 (−14.0- -9.0) | 1997–2009 | −2.2 (−4.3-0.0) | ||||||
SEER stage | ||||||||||
local | 1988–1995 | −0.6 (−4.3-3.2) | 1995–2009 | 5.5 (4.5–6.5) | ||||||
regional | 1988–2003 | 1.5 (0.1–2.8) | 2003–2009 | 10.2 (5.9–14.6) | ||||||
distant | 1988–2009 | 1.5 (−0.1–3.1) | ||||||||
unknown | 1988–2009 | −1.9 (−4.5-0.8) | ||||||||
Tumor size / stage | ||||||||||
<2.0 cm / local | 1988–2009 | 7.8 (7.0–8.6) | ||||||||
<2.0 cm / advancedd | 1988–2009 | 5.8 (5.0–6.6) | ||||||||
≥2.0 cm / local | 1988–2009 | 3.2 (2.2–4.2) | ||||||||
≥2.0 cm / advanced | 1988–2009 | 4.8 (3.9–5.6) | ||||||||
unknown/local | 1988–2009 | −9.9 (−12.3- -7.5) | ||||||||
unknown/advanced | 1988–2000 | −10.5 (−13.8- -7.2) | 2000–2009 | 3.1 (−3.4– 10.0) | ||||||
Women | ||||||||||
All | 1988–2001 | 3.8 (3.4–4.2) | 2001–2009 | 6.3 (5.7–6.9) | ||||||
Age | ||||||||||
<20 | 1988–2009 | 2.1 (0.6–3.7) | ||||||||
20–34 | 1988–2009 | 3.0 (2.6–3.5) | ||||||||
35–49 | 1988–2001 | 3.9 (3.2–4.6) | 2001–2009 | 6.1 (5.1–7.2) | ||||||
50–64 | 1988–1992 | 7.3 (2.7–12.1) | 1992–1995 | −0.6 (−12.3–12.6) | 1995–1999 | 9.3 (3.5–15.5) | 1999–2003 | 4.6 (0.2–9.3) | 2003–2009 | 8.4 (7.2–9.6) |
≥65 | 1988–2009 | 6.0 (5.3–6.7) | ||||||||
Race/ethnicity | ||||||||||
non-Hispanic white | 1988–1993 | 1.6 (−0.7–3.8) | 1993–2009 | 5.4 (5.1–5.8) | ||||||
non-Hispanic black | 1988–2009 | 5.3 (3.8–6.8) | ||||||||
Hispanic | 1988–2009 | 4.8 (4.3–5.2) | ||||||||
US-born | 1988–2004a | 4.7 (3.2–6.2) | ||||||||
foreign-born | 1988–2004a | 4.0 (2.6–5.5) | ||||||||
Asian/Pacific Islander | 1988–2003 | 2.2 (1.3–3.1) | 2003–2009 | 7.1 (4.8–9.5) | ||||||
US-bornb | 1988–2004a | 4.1 (2.3–6.0) | ||||||||
foreign-bornb | 1988–2004a | 1.1 (0.1–2.1) | ||||||||
Native Americanc | 1988–2009 | 4.4 (0.9–8.0) | ||||||||
Tumor size | ||||||||||
<1 cm | 1988–2009 | 9.0 (8.5–9.5) | ||||||||
1.0–1.4 cm | 1988–2004 | 6.3 (5.7–6.8) | 2004–2009 | 12.1 (10.0–14.3) | ||||||
1.5–1.9 cm | 1988–2009 | 5.2 (4.5–5.9) | ||||||||
2.0–2.9 cm | 1988–2009 | 3.8 (3.4–4.2) | ||||||||
3.0–3.9 cm | 1988–1994 | 8.5 (4.1–13.2) | 1994–2009 | 3.6 (2.8–4.4) | ||||||
4.0–4.9 cm | 1988–1995 | 10.5 (5.1–16.2) | 1995–2009 | 4.0 (2.8–5.1) | ||||||
≥5.0 cm | 1988–2009 | 5.0 (4.0–6.0) | ||||||||
unknown | 1988–1995 | −9.7 (−12.4- -6.8) | 1995–2009 | −5.1 (−6.5- -3.7) | ||||||
SEER stage | ||||||||||
local | 1988–1998 | 3.4 (2.5–4.3) | 1998–2009 | 6.0 (5.4–6.6) | ||||||
regional | 1988–2000 | 2.9 (1.6–4.1) | 2000–2009 | 8.2 (6.8–9.6) | ||||||
distant | 1988–1998 | 9.3 (4.9–13.9) | 1998–2009 | −2.9 (−5.6- -0.1) | ||||||
unknown | 1988–1995 | 11.3 (−0.3–24.2) | 1995–2009 | −7.3 (−11.3- -3.2) | ||||||
Tumor size / stage | ||||||||||
<2.0 cm / local | 1988–2009 | 7.8 (7.5–8.1) | ||||||||
<2.0 cm / advancedd | 1988–2005 | 6.2 (5.2–7.2) | 2005–2009 | 14.9 (9.2–20.8) | ||||||
≥2.0 cm / local | 1988–2005 | 3.8 (3.3–4.4) | 2005–2009 | −0.1 (−4.0–4.1) | ||||||
≥2.0 cm / advanced | 1988–2009 | 5.6 (5.0–6.2) | ||||||||
unknown/local | 1988–1991 | −5.8 (−14.8-4.3) | 1991–1994 | −22.0 (−38.1- -1.7) | 1994–2009 | −4.5 (−5.7- -3.1) | ||||
unknown/advanced | 1988–2009 | −6.6 (−8.1- -5.0) |
nativity data can only be calculated for the period 1988–2004
includes Chinese, Japanese, Filipino, Vietnamese, Korean, and South Asian persons
American Indian/Alaskan Native
combines regional and distant stages