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. 2014 Jun 13;13:231. doi: 10.1186/1475-2875-13-231

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Copyright © 2014 Nygren et al.; licensee BioMed Central Ltd.

This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly credited. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

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ARIMAX model in high-transmission zone vs. actual incidence. Graphs depicting two lines: actual malaria incidence vs. ARIMAX model prediction of incidence for the high-transmission zone, the best fit of the three zonal models. The testing period is 2011 w19 to 2012 w18 and the fitting period is 2012 w19 to 2013w36.