Table 2.
Positive and negative predictive values, sensitivity and specificity of childhood risk categories for disease outcomes at young adulthood.
| Upper fourth risk category at 8 years | Disease outcome at 21 years | Positive predictive value | Negative predictive value | Sensitivity | Specificity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BMI | Overweight/Obesity | 42% | 85% | 48% | 82% |
| Waist circumference | Central obesity | 43% | 82% | 44% | 81% |
| Systolic BP | Hypertension | 8% | 96% | 43% | 76% |
| Diastolic BP | Hypertension | 8% | 96% | 43% | 76% |
| Cholesterol | Hypercholesterolaemia | 17% | 98% | 75% | 78% |
| Triglycerides | Hypertriglyceridaemia | 14% | 94% | 50% | 76% |
| HDL-cholesterol | Low HDL | 73% | 32% | 26% | 78% |
| Fasting glucose | Hyperglycaemia | 26% | 83% | 33% | 77% |
BMI: body mass index; BP: blood pressure.